Recent ensemble forecasts from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show South Florida under a strengthening subtropical ridge, producing light southerly flow and ample May sunshine that supports daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s. The market’s close split between 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F stems from small but consequential differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and afternoon cloud cover that can add or subtract 1–2 °F from the daily maximum. Historical mid-May climatology for Miami International Airport places the average high near 86 °F, giving traders a clear baseline against which current model consensus is being measured. The next round of 12–48-hour model runs and the NWS Miami forecast discussion are expected to narrow the range before May 18.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 18 de mayo?
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 26%
84-85°F 22%
92-93°F 12.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
77°F o menos
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
2%
96°F o más
1%
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 26%
84-85°F 22%
92-93°F 12.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
77°F o menos
$115 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$115 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$14 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$18 Vol.
9%
84-85°F
$17 Vol.
22%
86-87°F
$117 Vol.
36%
88-89°F
$236 Vol.
26%
90-91°F
$312 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$206 Vol.
7%
94-95°F
$70 Vol.
2%
96°F o más
$91 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show South Florida under a strengthening subtropical ridge, producing light southerly flow and ample May sunshine that supports daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s. The market’s close split between 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F stems from small but consequential differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and afternoon cloud cover that can add or subtract 1–2 °F from the daily maximum. Historical mid-May climatology for Miami International Airport places the average high near 86 °F, giving traders a clear baseline against which current model consensus is being measured. The next round of 12–48-hour model runs and the NWS Miami forecast discussion are expected to narrow the range before May 18.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,311Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show South Florida under a strengthening subtropical ridge, producing light southerly flow and ample May sunshine that supports daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s. The market’s close split between 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F stems from small but consequential differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and afternoon cloud cover that can add or subtract 1–2 °F from the daily maximum. Historical mid-May climatology for Miami International Airport places the average high near 86 °F, giving traders a clear baseline against which current model consensus is being measured. The next round of 12–48-hour model runs and the NWS Miami forecast discussion are expected to narrow the range before May 18.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,311Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARecent ensemble forecasts from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show South Florida under a strengthening subtropical ridge, producing light southerly flow and ample May sunshine that supports daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s. The market’s close split between 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F stems from small but consequential differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and afternoon cloud cover that can add or subtract 1–2 °F from the daily maximum. Historical mid-May climatology for Miami International Airport places the average high near 86 °F, giving traders a clear baseline against which current model consensus is being measured. The next round of 12–48-hour model runs and the NWS Miami forecast discussion are expected to narrow the range before May 18.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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