Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and ensemble models shows Toronto on track for a seasonal warm spell, with southerly flow advecting milder air and ample May sunshine supporting daily highs near 28–29°C. This places the market’s top probabilities on 28°C and 29°C, while 30°C remains plausible if boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation peak as projected. Key variables include cloud cover timing and any late-day shower development, which could shave 1–2°C off the maximum; historical May extremes rarely exceed 30°C without strong high-pressure persistence. Updated model runs later today and hourly observations from Toronto Pearson will refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 18 de mayo?
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 18%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C
18%
31°C
11%
32°C o más
5%
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 18%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
22°C or below
$553 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$441 Vol.
1%
24°C
$215 Vol.
2%
25°C
$26 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
8%
27°C
$36 Vol.
10%
28°C
$14 Vol.
22%
29°C
$88 Vol.
26%
30°C
$37 Vol.
18%
31°C
$10 Vol.
11%
32°C o más
$33 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and ensemble models shows Toronto on track for a seasonal warm spell, with southerly flow advecting milder air and ample May sunshine supporting daily highs near 28–29°C. This places the market’s top probabilities on 28°C and 29°C, while 30°C remains plausible if boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation peak as projected. Key variables include cloud cover timing and any late-day shower development, which could shave 1–2°C off the maximum; historical May extremes rarely exceed 30°C without strong high-pressure persistence. Updated model runs later today and hourly observations from Toronto Pearson will refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,458Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and ensemble models shows Toronto on track for a seasonal warm spell, with southerly flow advecting milder air and ample May sunshine supporting daily highs near 28–29°C. This places the market’s top probabilities on 28°C and 29°C, while 30°C remains plausible if boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation peak as projected. Key variables include cloud cover timing and any late-day shower development, which could shave 1–2°C off the maximum; historical May extremes rarely exceed 30°C without strong high-pressure persistence. Updated model runs later today and hourly observations from Toronto Pearson will refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,458Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and ensemble models shows Toronto on track for a seasonal warm spell, with southerly flow advecting milder air and ample May sunshine supporting daily highs near 28–29°C. This places the market’s top probabilities on 28°C and 29°C, while 30°C remains plausible if boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation peak as projected. Key variables include cloud cover timing and any late-day shower development, which could shave 1–2°C off the maximum; historical May extremes rarely exceed 30°C without strong high-pressure persistence. Updated model runs later today and hourly observations from Toronto Pearson will refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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