Environment Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport calls for sunny skies and a daytime high of 23°C on May 17, driven by a warming southerly flow and strong solar insolation under minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 23°C outcome at 29.5% implied probability, followed closely by 24°C and 22°C as traders weigh afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing between 2–5 p.m. ET. Mid-May climatological averages near 19–20°C provide baseline context, yet recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports modest upward revision due to clear conditions favoring enhanced vertical heat transport. Resolution hinges on official maximum temperature readings, with any late-day wind shift or thin high cloud potentially trimming the peak by 1°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 17 de mayo?
23°C 30%
24°C 26%
22°C 21%
25°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
21%
23°C
30%
24°C
26%
25°C
11%
26°C
6%
27°C o más
2%
23°C 30%
24°C 26%
22°C 21%
25°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
21%
23°C
30%
24°C
26%
25°C
11%
26°C
6%
27°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZEnvironment Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport calls for sunny skies and a daytime high of 23°C on May 17, driven by a warming southerly flow and strong solar insolation under minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 23°C outcome at 29.5% implied probability, followed closely by 24°C and 22°C as traders weigh afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing between 2–5 p.m. ET. Mid-May climatological averages near 19–20°C provide baseline context, yet recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports modest upward revision due to clear conditions favoring enhanced vertical heat transport. Resolution hinges on official maximum temperature readings, with any late-day wind shift or thin high cloud potentially trimming the peak by 1°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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