National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show an unseasonably cold air mass settling over Denver on May 18, with daytime highs projected near 46°F amid accumulating snow. This setup stems from a strong upper-level trough steering Arctic-origin air southward, overriding typical mid-May climatology where highs average around 73°F. The resulting suppression of surface temperatures and increased cloud cover plus precipitation have driven the market-implied odds overwhelmingly toward 61°F or below. Minor model spread in exact high readings or timing of the cold front could still allow slight upward revisions, but current consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs leaves little room for warmer outcomes before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 18 de mayo?
61°F or below 99.4%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
NUEVO
$11,723 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,723 Vol.
18 may 2026
61°F or below
99%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
61°F or below 99.4%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
NUEVO
$11,723 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,723 Vol.
18 may 2026
61°F or below
$1,553 Vol.
99%
62-63°F
$1,325 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,308 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,504 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,186 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$721 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$721 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$721 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$771 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$792 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show an unseasonably cold air mass settling over Denver on May 18, with daytime highs projected near 46°F amid accumulating snow. This setup stems from a strong upper-level trough steering Arctic-origin air southward, overriding typical mid-May climatology where highs average around 73°F. The resulting suppression of surface temperatures and increased cloud cover plus precipitation have driven the market-implied odds overwhelmingly toward 61°F or below. Minor model spread in exact high readings or timing of the cold front could still allow slight upward revisions, but current consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs leaves little room for warmer outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$11,723Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show an unseasonably cold air mass settling over Denver on May 18, with daytime highs projected near 46°F amid accumulating snow. This setup stems from a strong upper-level trough steering Arctic-origin air southward, overriding typical mid-May climatology where highs average around 73°F. The resulting suppression of surface temperatures and increased cloud cover plus precipitation have driven the market-implied odds overwhelmingly toward 61°F or below. Minor model spread in exact high readings or timing of the cold front could still allow slight upward revisions, but current consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs leaves little room for warmer outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,723Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFNational Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show an unseasonably cold air mass settling over Denver on May 18, with daytime highs projected near 46°F amid accumulating snow. This setup stems from a strong upper-level trough steering Arctic-origin air southward, overriding typical mid-May climatology where highs average around 73°F. The resulting suppression of surface temperatures and increased cloud cover plus precipitation have driven the market-implied odds overwhelmingly toward 61°F or below. Minor model spread in exact high readings or timing of the cold front could still allow slight upward revisions, but current consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs leaves little room for warmer outcomes before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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