Latest forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 18 maximum temperature in the 28–31 °C range, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 29–32 °C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming of the Sichuan Basin support daytime heating, while variable low-level moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover or showers introduce the small uncertainties that differentiate these closely priced bins. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 28 °C with standard deviations of 2–3 °C, placing the current trader consensus squarely within expected variability. Updated short-range model runs and official CMA surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 18 de mayo?
31°C 26%
32°C 17%
30°C 16%
29°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
15%
30°C
16%
31°C
26%
32°C
17%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 26%
32°C 17%
30°C 16%
29°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
26°C or below
$289 Vol.
1%
27°C
$110 Vol.
4%
28°C
$47 Vol.
11%
29°C
$92 Vol.
15%
30°C
$109 Vol.
16%
31°C
$135 Vol.
26%
32°C
$228 Vol.
17%
33°C
$164 Vol.
11%
34°C
$266 Vol.
4%
35°C
$166 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$693 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 18 maximum temperature in the 28–31 °C range, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 29–32 °C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming of the Sichuan Basin support daytime heating, while variable low-level moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover or showers introduce the small uncertainties that differentiate these closely priced bins. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 28 °C with standard deviations of 2–3 °C, placing the current trader consensus squarely within expected variability. Updated short-range model runs and official CMA surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$2,274Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 18 maximum temperature in the 28–31 °C range, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 29–32 °C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming of the Sichuan Basin support daytime heating, while variable low-level moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover or showers introduce the small uncertainties that differentiate these closely priced bins. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 28 °C with standard deviations of 2–3 °C, placing the current trader consensus squarely within expected variability. Updated short-range model runs and official CMA surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,274Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 18 maximum temperature in the 28–31 °C range, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 29–32 °C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming of the Sichuan Basin support daytime heating, while variable low-level moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover or showers introduce the small uncertainties that differentiate these closely priced bins. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 28 °C with standard deviations of 2–3 °C, placing the current trader consensus squarely within expected variability. Updated short-range model runs and official CMA surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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