Latest forecasts from AccuWeather and statistical models project Chengdu's May 17 high temperature between 27°C and 32°C, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly at 21% apiece for 28°C and 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty from the Sichuan Basin's climatological temperature inversions and stratus clouds that cap solar insolation. Recent light rain and cloudy conditions through May 15 limited highs to 24-25°C, but partial clearing is anticipated under a weak high-pressure ridge, with model spread hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation—more sun favors 30°C+, while overcast skies align with historical mid-May averages around 27°C amid 47% cloudy cover. Watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and new ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs for resolution-clarifying updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 17 de mayo?
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
30°C 17%
31°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
21%
29°C
20%
30°C
17%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
4%
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
30°C 17%
31°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
23°C or below
$220 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$340 Vol.
1%
25°C
$58 Vol.
2%
26°C
$435 Vol.
6%
27°C
$301 Vol.
13%
28°C
$147 Vol.
21%
29°C
$261 Vol.
20%
30°C
$174 Vol.
17%
31°C
$217 Vol.
14%
32°C
$412 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$642 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from AccuWeather and statistical models project Chengdu's May 17 high temperature between 27°C and 32°C, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly at 21% apiece for 28°C and 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty from the Sichuan Basin's climatological temperature inversions and stratus clouds that cap solar insolation. Recent light rain and cloudy conditions through May 15 limited highs to 24-25°C, but partial clearing is anticipated under a weak high-pressure ridge, with model spread hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation—more sun favors 30°C+, while overcast skies align with historical mid-May averages around 27°C amid 47% cloudy cover. Watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and new ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs for resolution-clarifying updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$3,208Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from AccuWeather and statistical models project Chengdu's May 17 high temperature between 27°C and 32°C, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly at 21% apiece for 28°C and 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty from the Sichuan Basin's climatological temperature inversions and stratus clouds that cap solar insolation. Recent light rain and cloudy conditions through May 15 limited highs to 24-25°C, but partial clearing is anticipated under a weak high-pressure ridge, with model spread hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation—more sun favors 30°C+, while overcast skies align with historical mid-May averages around 27°C amid 47% cloudy cover. Watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and new ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs for resolution-clarifying updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,208Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest forecasts from AccuWeather and statistical models project Chengdu's May 17 high temperature between 27°C and 32°C, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly at 21% apiece for 28°C and 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty from the Sichuan Basin's climatological temperature inversions and stratus clouds that cap solar insolation. Recent light rain and cloudy conditions through May 15 limited highs to 24-25°C, but partial clearing is anticipated under a weak high-pressure ridge, with model spread hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation—more sun favors 30°C+, while overcast skies align with historical mid-May averages around 27°C amid 47% cloudy cover. Watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and new ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs for resolution-clarifying updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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