Latest ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS places Chongqing’s May 18 maximum in a tight 24–27 °C cluster, driven by persistent light southerly flow and variable low-level moisture that caps afternoon heating. Small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Sichuan Basin determine whether readings top out near the long-term mid-May average of roughly 26 °C or remain a degree cooler. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are pricing the genuine short-range uncertainty in these variables, producing nearly equal implied odds across the four leading outcomes rather than strong conviction in any single value.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 18 de mayo?
25°C 26%
26°C 22%
24°C 22%
27°C 20%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C
16%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
22%
27°C
20%
28°C
10%
29°C or higher
5%
25°C 26%
26°C 22%
24°C 22%
27°C 20%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C
16%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
22%
27°C
20%
28°C
10%
29°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKLatest ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS places Chongqing’s May 18 maximum in a tight 24–27 °C cluster, driven by persistent light southerly flow and variable low-level moisture that caps afternoon heating. Small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Sichuan Basin determine whether readings top out near the long-term mid-May average of roughly 26 °C or remain a degree cooler. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are pricing the genuine short-range uncertainty in these variables, producing nearly equal implied odds across the four leading outcomes rather than strong conviction in any single value.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes