Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 17 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 17 de mayo?
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 17%
80-81°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
73°F o menos
3%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
53%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 17%
80-81°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
73°F o menos
$504 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$13 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$15 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$66 Vol.
53%
80-81°F
$41 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
17%
84-85°F
$78 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$111 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$25 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$15 Vol.
1%
92°F o más
$888 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volumen
$1,755Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,755Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIATrader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on May 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance under a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits nocturnal cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and dewpoints in the mid-70s°F. However, the near-tie with 73°F or below stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where increased cloud cover from diurnal sea-breeze convection—evident in recent scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the past 48 hours—could suppress minimums by trapping heat or enhancing radiational cooling if skies clear overnight. Historical mid-May lows average 75°F, with uncertainty hinging on evening shower persistence; watch 00Z model runs and NWS updates for refinement ahead of resolution at Miami International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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