The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin, Texas, projects a high temperature of 92°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies with south winds at 5 to 10 mph gusting to 25 mph, driving the market's 96% implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this strong consensus from recent model runs including hourly peaks near 91–92°F in the mid-afternoon. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm advection, building on today's observed high of 92°F amid a warming trend well above mid-May climatological norms of around 87°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected cloud increases or a wind shift would require significant deviation from current guidance; monitor NWS updates through tomorrow's resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on May 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?
86°F or higher 96.2%
84-85°F 3.4%
82-83°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
NUEVO
$28,455 Vol.
NUEVO
$28,455 Vol.
15 may 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
96%
86°F or higher 96.2%
84-85°F 3.4%
82-83°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
NUEVO
$28,455 Vol.
NUEVO
$28,455 Vol.
15 may 2026
67°F or below
$5,660 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,766 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$9,658 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,043 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,368 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$962 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,071 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$884 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$574 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$645 Vol.
3%
86°F or higher
$831 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin, Texas, projects a high temperature of 92°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies with south winds at 5 to 10 mph gusting to 25 mph, driving the market's 96% implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this strong consensus from recent model runs including hourly peaks near 91–92°F in the mid-afternoon. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm advection, building on today's observed high of 92°F amid a warming trend well above mid-May climatological norms of around 87°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected cloud increases or a wind shift would require significant deviation from current guidance; monitor NWS updates through tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$28,455Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin, Texas, projects a high temperature of 92°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies with south winds at 5 to 10 mph gusting to 25 mph, driving the market's 96% implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this strong consensus from recent model runs including hourly peaks near 91–92°F in the mid-afternoon. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm advection, building on today's observed high of 92°F amid a warming trend well above mid-May climatological norms of around 87°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected cloud increases or a wind shift would require significant deviation from current guidance; monitor NWS updates through tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,455Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin, Texas, projects a high temperature of 92°F on May 15 under partly sunny skies with south winds at 5 to 10 mph gusting to 25 mph, driving the market's 96% implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this strong consensus from recent model runs including hourly peaks near 91–92°F in the mid-afternoon. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm advection, building on today's observed high of 92°F amid a warming trend well above mid-May climatological norms of around 87°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected cloud increases or a wind shift would require significant deviation from current guidance; monitor NWS updates through tomorrow's resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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