**Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Moscow on September 11, 2026, driven by a westerly frontal system bringing rain, clouds, and brisk winds that replace the warm southerly flow of September 10.** Official and model guidance from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles point to daytime highs near 15–18°C with widespread showers, followed by overnight lows clustered around 10–12°C under increasing cloud cover. This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear nights, keeping the minimum well above historical September averages near 9°C while preventing deeper drops below 7°C. Trader consensus around 10–12°C (with 11°C at 27% implied probability) reflects model agreement on the overall cooling trend but lingering uncertainty in exact timing of the front, wind speeds, and cloud thickness that can shift the low by 1–2°C. Probabilities for extremes remain negligible (<1%) because current atmospheric conditions and short-range guidance show no pathway to either sub-6°C or 16°C+ readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 11 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 11 de septiembre?
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
13°C 40%
11°C 34%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
16%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
26%
11°C
34%
12°C
22%
13°C
40%
14°C
15%
15°C
15%
16°C o más
<1%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
13°C 40%
11°C 34%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
6°C o menos
$110 Vol.
1%
7°C
$0 Vol.
16%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
34%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
15%
16°C o más
$180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Moscow on September 11, 2026, driven by a westerly frontal system bringing rain, clouds, and brisk winds that replace the warm southerly flow of September 10.** Official and model guidance from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles point to daytime highs near 15–18°C with widespread showers, followed by overnight lows clustered around 10–12°C under increasing cloud cover. This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear nights, keeping the minimum well above historical September averages near 9°C while preventing deeper drops below 7°C.
Trader consensus around 10–12°C (with 11°C at 27% implied probability) reflects model agreement on the overall cooling trend but lingering uncertainty in exact timing of the front, wind speeds, and cloud thickness that can shift the low by 1–2°C. Probabilities for extremes remain negligible (<1%) because current atmospheric conditions and short-range guidance show no pathway to either sub-6°C or 16°C+ readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$290Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Moscow on September 11, 2026, driven by a westerly frontal system bringing rain, clouds, and brisk winds that replace the warm southerly flow of September 10.** Official and model guidance from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles point to daytime highs near 15–18°C with widespread showers, followed by overnight lows clustered around 10–12°C under increasing cloud cover. This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear nights, keeping the minimum well above historical September averages near 9°C while preventing deeper drops below 7°C.
Trader consensus around 10–12°C (with 11°C at 27% implied probability) reflects model agreement on the overall cooling trend but lingering uncertainty in exact timing of the front, wind speeds, and cloud thickness that can shift the low by 1–2°C. Probabilities for extremes remain negligible (<1%) because current atmospheric conditions and short-range guidance show no pathway to either sub-6°C or 16°C+ readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$290Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Moscow on September 11, 2026, driven by a westerly frontal system bringing rain, clouds, and brisk winds that replace the warm southerly flow of September 10.** Official and model guidance from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles point to daytime highs near 15–18°C with widespread showers, followed by overnight lows clustered around 10–12°C under increasing cloud cover. This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear nights, keeping the minimum well above historical September averages near 9°C while preventing deeper drops below 7°C. Trader consensus around 10–12°C (with 11°C at 27% implied probability) reflects model agreement on the overall cooling trend but lingering uncertainty in exact timing of the front, wind speeds, and cloud thickness that can shift the low by 1–2°C. Probabilities for extremes remain negligible (<1%) because current atmospheric conditions and short-range guidance show no pathway to either sub-6°C or 16°C+ readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the precise minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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