Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely reach 14–15°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, supporting moderate radiative cooling without a sharp cold-air intrusion. This setup aligns with the market's tight clustering around 14°C (45% implied probability) versus 11°C or below (37.5%), as traders weigh the current mild air mass against typical early-September variability and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover decreases further. Historical averages near 12°C provide context, but short-range model consensus favors the higher end of the distribution ahead of the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 3 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 3 de septiembre?
11°C or below 42%
14°C 31%
13°C 30%
12°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
11°C or below
42%
12°C
26%
13°C
30%
14°C
31%
15°C
24%
16°C
9%
17°C
15%
18°C
15%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
8%
11°C or below 42%
14°C 31%
13°C 30%
12°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
11°C or below
$26 Vol.
42%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
31%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$20 Vol.
9%
17°C
$100 Vol.
15%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely reach 14–15°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, supporting moderate radiative cooling without a sharp cold-air intrusion. This setup aligns with the market's tight clustering around 14°C (45% implied probability) versus 11°C or below (37.5%), as traders weigh the current mild air mass against typical early-September variability and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover decreases further. Historical averages near 12°C provide context, but short-range model consensus favors the higher end of the distribution ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$146Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely reach 14–15°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, supporting moderate radiative cooling without a sharp cold-air intrusion. This setup aligns with the market's tight clustering around 14°C (45% implied probability) versus 11°C or below (37.5%), as traders weigh the current mild air mass against typical early-September variability and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover decreases further. Historical averages near 12°C provide context, but short-range model consensus favors the higher end of the distribution ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$146Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely reach 14–15°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, supporting moderate radiative cooling without a sharp cold-air intrusion. This setup aligns with the market's tight clustering around 14°C (45% implied probability) versus 11°C or below (37.5%), as traders weigh the current mild air mass against typical early-September variability and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover decreases further. Historical averages near 12°C provide context, but short-range model consensus favors the higher end of the distribution ahead of the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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