Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for San Francisco on September 5, 2026, converge on an overnight low in the upper 50s Fahrenheit, directly supporting the market's heaviest weighting toward the 58–59°F bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific maintains a moderating marine layer that prevents temperatures from dropping below seasonal norms near 56°F, while clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limit radiational cooling. Historical data show September 5 lows averaging 56.1°F with rare excursions below 52°F, reinforcing trader consensus that colder outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected shift in the upper-level pattern. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact minimum before official observations close the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 5 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 5 de septiembre?
52-53°F 75%
48-49°F 8%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$980 Vol.
$980 Vol.
5 sep 2026
47°F o menos
-
48-49°F
8%
50-51°F
-
52-53°F
75%
54-55°F
32%
56-57°F
45%
58-59°F
68%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F o más
<1%
52-53°F 75%
48-49°F 8%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$980 Vol.
$980 Vol.
5 sep 2026
47°F o menos
$18 Vol.
-
48-49°F
$38 Vol.
8%
50-51°F
$23 Vol.
-
52-53°F
$37 Vol.
75%
54-55°F
$35 Vol.
32%
56-57°F
$180 Vol.
45%
58-59°F
$385 Vol.
68%
60-61°F
$94 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$91 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$32 Vol.
<1%
66°F o más
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for San Francisco on September 5, 2026, converge on an overnight low in the upper 50s Fahrenheit, directly supporting the market's heaviest weighting toward the 58–59°F bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific maintains a moderating marine layer that prevents temperatures from dropping below seasonal norms near 56°F, while clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limit radiational cooling. Historical data show September 5 lows averaging 56.1°F with rare excursions below 52°F, reinforcing trader consensus that colder outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected shift in the upper-level pattern. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact minimum before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$980Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for San Francisco on September 5, 2026, converge on an overnight low in the upper 50s Fahrenheit, directly supporting the market's heaviest weighting toward the 58–59°F bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific maintains a moderating marine layer that prevents temperatures from dropping below seasonal norms near 56°F, while clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limit radiational cooling. Historical data show September 5 lows averaging 56.1°F with rare excursions below 52°F, reinforcing trader consensus that colder outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected shift in the upper-level pattern. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact minimum before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$980Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for San Francisco on September 5, 2026, converge on an overnight low in the upper 50s Fahrenheit, directly supporting the market's heaviest weighting toward the 58–59°F bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific maintains a moderating marine layer that prevents temperatures from dropping below seasonal norms near 56°F, while clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limit radiational cooling. Historical data show September 5 lows averaging 56.1°F with rare excursions below 52°F, reinforcing trader consensus that colder outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected shift in the upper-level pattern. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact minimum before official observations close the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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