**Recent official and model forecasts position 31°C and 32°C as the clear leading outcomes for Lucknow’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s 46% and 35.5% implied probabilities.** Active monsoon conditions—widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 50–80% chance of rain or thundershowers—limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature suppressed near seasonal norms. Multiple sources, including India Meteorological Department guidance and international models, project a high of 31–32°C, with some runs showing slight clearing that could allow brief warming to 32°C while others emphasize persistent rain keeping it at or below 31°C. This creates genuine uncertainty between the two values, consistent with their combined ~81.5% market share. Historical September maxima in Lucknow typically range 31–34°C, but enhanced monsoon rainfall this season has trended slightly below average, reinforcing the current positioning. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine the final recorded high and any late shifts in trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 5 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 5 de septiembre?
31°C 47%
32°C 35%
30°C 11%
33°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
47%
32°C
35%
33°C
6%
34°C o más
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 35%
30°C 11%
33°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
24°C o menos
$434 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$391 Vol.
1%
28°C
$307 Vol.
1%
29°C
$195 Vol.
2%
30°C
$680 Vol.
11%
31°C
$2,146 Vol.
47%
32°C
$1,970 Vol.
35%
33°C
$625 Vol.
6%
34°C o más
$186 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts position 31°C and 32°C as the clear leading outcomes for Lucknow’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s 46% and 35.5% implied probabilities.**
Active monsoon conditions—widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 50–80% chance of rain or thundershowers—limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature suppressed near seasonal norms. Multiple sources, including India Meteorological Department guidance and international models, project a high of 31–32°C, with some runs showing slight clearing that could allow brief warming to 32°C while others emphasize persistent rain keeping it at or below 31°C.
This creates genuine uncertainty between the two values, consistent with their combined ~81.5% market share. Historical September maxima in Lucknow typically range 31–34°C, but enhanced monsoon rainfall this season has trended slightly below average, reinforcing the current positioning. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine the final recorded high and any late shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$7,516Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts position 31°C and 32°C as the clear leading outcomes for Lucknow’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s 46% and 35.5% implied probabilities.**
Active monsoon conditions—widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 50–80% chance of rain or thundershowers—limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature suppressed near seasonal norms. Multiple sources, including India Meteorological Department guidance and international models, project a high of 31–32°C, with some runs showing slight clearing that could allow brief warming to 32°C while others emphasize persistent rain keeping it at or below 31°C.
This creates genuine uncertainty between the two values, consistent with their combined ~81.5% market share. Historical September maxima in Lucknow typically range 31–34°C, but enhanced monsoon rainfall this season has trended slightly below average, reinforcing the current positioning. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine the final recorded high and any late shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,516Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official and model forecasts position 31°C and 32°C as the clear leading outcomes for Lucknow’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s 46% and 35.5% implied probabilities.** Active monsoon conditions—widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and a 50–80% chance of rain or thundershowers—limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature suppressed near seasonal norms. Multiple sources, including India Meteorological Department guidance and international models, project a high of 31–32°C, with some runs showing slight clearing that could allow brief warming to 32°C while others emphasize persistent rain keeping it at or below 31°C. This creates genuine uncertainty between the two values, consistent with their combined ~81.5% market share. Historical September maxima in Lucknow typically range 31–34°C, but enhanced monsoon rainfall this season has trended slightly below average, reinforcing the current positioning. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine the final recorded high and any late shifts in trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes