Official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international models project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 9, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical Mediterranean nocturnal cooling after daytime highs near 32°C. This aligns with the 82.5% market-implied probability for 24°C, reflecting strong trader consensus on model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing around that threshold with minimal cloud cover or humidity to moderate temperatures further. A 23°C outcome at 19% remains plausible if cooling accelerates slightly, while warmer readings appear unlikely given current atmospheric conditions. Historical September lows average near 22°C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns support the warmer baseline. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 9 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 9 de septiembre?
24°C 99%
23°C 19%
21°C 9%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
9%
23°C
19%
24°C
83%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
24°C 99%
23°C 19%
21°C 9%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
18°C o menos
$99 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$50 Vol.
1%
21°C
$30 Vol.
9%
22°C
$44 Vol.
9%
23°C
$65 Vol.
19%
24°C
$484 Vol.
83%
25°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
28°C o más
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international models project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 9, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical Mediterranean nocturnal cooling after daytime highs near 32°C. This aligns with the 82.5% market-implied probability for 24°C, reflecting strong trader consensus on model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing around that threshold with minimal cloud cover or humidity to moderate temperatures further. A 23°C outcome at 19% remains plausible if cooling accelerates slightly, while warmer readings appear unlikely given current atmospheric conditions. Historical September lows average near 22°C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns support the warmer baseline. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,402Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international models project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 9, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical Mediterranean nocturnal cooling after daytime highs near 32°C. This aligns with the 82.5% market-implied probability for 24°C, reflecting strong trader consensus on model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing around that threshold with minimal cloud cover or humidity to moderate temperatures further. A 23°C outcome at 19% remains plausible if cooling accelerates slightly, while warmer readings appear unlikely given current atmospheric conditions. Historical September lows average near 22°C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns support the warmer baseline. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,402Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and international models project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 9, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical Mediterranean nocturnal cooling after daytime highs near 32°C. This aligns with the 82.5% market-implied probability for 24°C, reflecting strong trader consensus on model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing around that threshold with minimal cloud cover or humidity to moderate temperatures further. A 23°C outcome at 19% remains plausible if cooling accelerates slightly, while warmer readings appear unlikely given current atmospheric conditions. Historical September lows average near 22°C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns support the warmer baseline. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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