**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate minimum temperatures in Zhengzhou of 14–16°C on September 9, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of light rain or drizzle, and northerly to northwesterly winds advecting cooler air.** Official observations and model guidance, including recent readings near 16–18°C with dew points supporting overnight cooling to the mid-teens Celsius, align with this range and explain the overwhelming market-implied probability for 15°C or below. Historical September lows average closer to 17–20°C, but the present synoptic pattern—marked by a recent frontal passage and elevated humidity—has produced notably cooler conditions than climatology. The primary uncertainty for market resolution lies in the precise official station reading and exact timing of the daily minimum; an unexpected warming trend or measurement variance above 15°C could theoretically shift outcomes, though current data and model consensus make this highly unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Zhengzhou el 9 de septiembre?
15°C o menos 99.6%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$4,836 Vol.
$4,836 Vol.
15°C o menos
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
15°C o menos 99.6%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$4,836 Vol.
$4,836 Vol.
15°C o menos
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate minimum temperatures in Zhengzhou of 14–16°C on September 9, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of light rain or drizzle, and northerly to northwesterly winds advecting cooler air.** Official observations and model guidance, including recent readings near 16–18°C with dew points supporting overnight cooling to the mid-teens Celsius, align with this range and explain the overwhelming market-implied probability for 15°C or below. Historical September lows average closer to 17–20°C, but the present synoptic pattern—marked by a recent frontal passage and elevated humidity—has produced notably cooler conditions than climatology. The primary uncertainty for market resolution lies in the precise official station reading and exact timing of the daily minimum; an unexpected warming trend or measurement variance above 15°C could theoretically shift outcomes, though current data and model consensus make this highly unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes