Recent gasoline price surges stemming from geopolitical tensions have elevated headline CPI expectations for May 2026, creating tight market-implied odds between a 0.5% and 0.6% month-over-month print as traders weigh the balance between energy-driven upside and contained core readings. April data showed headline inflation at 3.8% year-over-year with notable energy volatility, while core measures held near 0.3% monthly amid slowing shelter costs and used-vehicle deflation. Forecasters highlight potential second-round effects from tariffs and persistent fuel costs as key swing factors, with upcoming May labor and retail sales releases likely to refine the path ahead of the June 10 report. This narrow contest reflects trader consensus on mixed signals rather than a decisive trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0.6% 42%
0.5% 39%
0.4% 13%
0.3% 9.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
12%
0.4%
13%
0.5%
39%
0.6%
41%
0.7%
9%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
6%
0.6% 42%
0.5% 39%
0.4% 13%
0.3% 9.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
≤0.1%
$54 Vol.
4%
0.2%
$52 Vol.
7%
0.3%
$399 Vol.
12%
0.4%
$535 Vol.
13%
0.5%
$29 Vol.
39%
0.6%
$268 Vol.
41%
0.7%
$27 Vol.
9%
0.8%
$77 Vol.
5%
≥0.9%
$89 Vol.
6%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent gasoline price surges stemming from geopolitical tensions have elevated headline CPI expectations for May 2026, creating tight market-implied odds between a 0.5% and 0.6% month-over-month print as traders weigh the balance between energy-driven upside and contained core readings. April data showed headline inflation at 3.8% year-over-year with notable energy volatility, while core measures held near 0.3% monthly amid slowing shelter costs and used-vehicle deflation. Forecasters highlight potential second-round effects from tariffs and persistent fuel costs as key swing factors, with upcoming May labor and retail sales releases likely to refine the path ahead of the June 10 report. This narrow contest reflects trader consensus on mixed signals rather than a decisive trend.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volumen
$1,529Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent gasoline price surges stemming from geopolitical tensions have elevated headline CPI expectations for May 2026, creating tight market-implied odds between a 0.5% and 0.6% month-over-month print as traders weigh the balance between energy-driven upside and contained core readings. April data showed headline inflation at 3.8% year-over-year with notable energy volatility, while core measures held near 0.3% monthly amid slowing shelter costs and used-vehicle deflation. Forecasters highlight potential second-round effects from tariffs and persistent fuel costs as key swing factors, with upcoming May labor and retail sales releases likely to refine the path ahead of the June 10 report. This narrow contest reflects trader consensus on mixed signals rather than a decisive trend.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$1,529Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent gasoline price surges stemming from geopolitical tensions have elevated headline CPI expectations for May 2026, creating tight market-implied odds between a 0.5% and 0.6% month-over-month print as traders weigh the balance between energy-driven upside and contained core readings. April data showed headline inflation at 3.8% year-over-year with notable energy volatility, while core measures held near 0.3% monthly amid slowing shelter costs and used-vehicle deflation. Forecasters highlight potential second-round effects from tariffs and persistent fuel costs as key swing factors, with upcoming May labor and retail sales releases likely to refine the path ahead of the June 10 report. This narrow contest reflects trader consensus on mixed signals rather than a decisive trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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