The May 31, 2026 Colombian presidential first round delivered confirmed results placing Paloma Valencia at roughly 7 percent of the vote, well below 10 percent. Conservative voters consolidated behind Abelardo de la Espriella, whose tougher security platform drew support from the right-wing base amid ongoing concerns over armed groups. Valencia's campaign, backed by the Centro Democrático, struggled with internal divisions, a perceived lack of independence from former President Uribe, and failure to differentiate effectively from her main rival. Official tallies and rapid final counts have locked in this outcome, leaving only minor procedural steps such as full certification that are unlikely to alter the reported share. This result matches the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-10 percent finish.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPaloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
<10% 99.6%
10-15% <1%
25-30% <1%
35%+ <1%
$14,641 Vol.
$14,641 Vol.
31 may 2026
<10%
100%
10-15%
<1%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35%+
<1%
<10% 99.6%
10-15% <1%
25-30% <1%
35%+ <1%
$14,641 Vol.
$14,641 Vol.
31 may 2026
<10%
$7,693 Vol.
100%
10-15%
$1,553 Vol.
<1%
15-20%
$733 Vol.
<1%
20-25%
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
25-30%
$2,496 Vol.
<1%
30-35%
$688 Vol.
<1%
35%+
$415 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.The May 31, 2026 Colombian presidential first round delivered confirmed results placing Paloma Valencia at roughly 7 percent of the vote, well below 10 percent. Conservative voters consolidated behind Abelardo de la Espriella, whose tougher security platform drew support from the right-wing base amid ongoing concerns over armed groups. Valencia's campaign, backed by the Centro Democrático, struggled with internal divisions, a perceived lack of independence from former President Uribe, and failure to differentiate effectively from her main rival. Official tallies and rapid final counts have locked in this outcome, leaving only minor procedural steps such as full certification that are unlikely to alter the reported share. This result matches the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-10 percent finish.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Volumen
$14,641Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.The May 31, 2026 Colombian presidential first round delivered confirmed results placing Paloma Valencia at roughly 7 percent of the vote, well below 10 percent. Conservative voters consolidated behind Abelardo de la Espriella, whose tougher security platform drew support from the right-wing base amid ongoing concerns over armed groups. Valencia's campaign, backed by the Centro Democrático, struggled with internal divisions, a perceived lack of independence from former President Uribe, and failure to differentiate effectively from her main rival. Official tallies and rapid final counts have locked in this outcome, leaving only minor procedural steps such as full certification that are unlikely to alter the reported share. This result matches the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-10 percent finish.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volumen
$14,641Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The May 31, 2026 Colombian presidential first round delivered confirmed results placing Paloma Valencia at roughly 7 percent of the vote, well below 10 percent. Conservative voters consolidated behind Abelardo de la Espriella, whose tougher security platform drew support from the right-wing base amid ongoing concerns over armed groups. Valencia's campaign, backed by the Centro Democrático, struggled with internal divisions, a perceived lack of independence from former President Uribe, and failure to differentiate effectively from her main rival. Official tallies and rapid final counts have locked in this outcome, leaving only minor procedural steps such as full certification that are unlikely to alter the reported share. This result matches the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-10 percent finish.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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