Iván Cepeda secured roughly 41 percent of the vote in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, reflecting his position as the Historic Pact nominee backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro. Pre-election polls had shown Cepeda leading, yet right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella exceeded expectations with a tough-on-crime platform and evangelical support to finish first at 44 percent. Centrist and conservative votes split among additional candidates, preventing any outright majority. Cepeda accepted the certified results after initial questions, setting up a June 21 runoff. This outcome aligns with the dominant market range, though late shifts in turnout or coalition endorsements ahead of the second round could still influence final tallies if disputes arise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 98.8%
45-50% 3.0%
50-55% 2.8%
35-40% 1.3%
$31,803 Vol.
$31,803 Vol.
31 may 2026
<30%
1%
30-35%
1%
35-40%
1%
40-45%
99%
45-50%
3%
50-55%
3%
55%+
<1%
40-45% 98.8%
45-50% 3.0%
50-55% 2.8%
35-40% 1.3%
$31,803 Vol.
$31,803 Vol.
31 may 2026
<30%
$5,437 Vol.
1%
30-35%
$2,208 Vol.
1%
35-40%
$3,804 Vol.
1%
40-45%
$9,241 Vol.
99%
45-50%
$3,491 Vol.
3%
50-55%
$3,190 Vol.
3%
55%+
$4,432 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured roughly 41 percent of the vote in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, reflecting his position as the Historic Pact nominee backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro. Pre-election polls had shown Cepeda leading, yet right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella exceeded expectations with a tough-on-crime platform and evangelical support to finish first at 44 percent. Centrist and conservative votes split among additional candidates, preventing any outright majority. Cepeda accepted the certified results after initial questions, setting up a June 21 runoff. This outcome aligns with the dominant market range, though late shifts in turnout or coalition endorsements ahead of the second round could still influence final tallies if disputes arise.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Volumen
$31,803Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured roughly 41 percent of the vote in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, reflecting his position as the Historic Pact nominee backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro. Pre-election polls had shown Cepeda leading, yet right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella exceeded expectations with a tough-on-crime platform and evangelical support to finish first at 44 percent. Centrist and conservative votes split among additional candidates, preventing any outright majority. Cepeda accepted the certified results after initial questions, setting up a June 21 runoff. This outcome aligns with the dominant market range, though late shifts in turnout or coalition endorsements ahead of the second round could still influence final tallies if disputes arise.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volumen
$31,803Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iván Cepeda secured roughly 41 percent of the vote in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, reflecting his position as the Historic Pact nominee backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro. Pre-election polls had shown Cepeda leading, yet right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella exceeded expectations with a tough-on-crime platform and evangelical support to finish first at 44 percent. Centrist and conservative votes split among additional candidates, preventing any outright majority. Cepeda accepted the certified results after initial questions, setting up a June 21 runoff. This outcome aligns with the dominant market range, though late shifts in turnout or coalition endorsements ahead of the second round could still influence final tallies if disputes arise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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