Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market has anchored trader consensus around the $2.00–$2.25 range for the May 2026 average retail price, which carries a 63.5% implied probability. Wholesale benchmarks have stabilized near $0.20–$0.40 per dozen after sharp year-over-year declines from 2025 peaks above $6, while the BLS retail series for Grade A large eggs printed $2.25 in April and $2.35 in March. Elevated flock numbers and subdued avian-flu pressure have boosted available supply, tempering inflation pass-through and aligning with the 27.5% odds on the adjacent $2.25–$2.50 bucket. With the May CPI release and seasonal demand patterns still ahead, market-implied odds reflect real-money positioning that balances confirmed production gains against residual volatility in feed costs and potential late-month weather effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$2.50–$2.75 3.1%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
1%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
64%
$2.25–$2.50
28%
$2.50–$2.75
3%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$2.50–$2.75 3.1%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
1%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
64%
$2.25–$2.50
28%
$2.50–$2.75
3%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market has anchored trader consensus around the $2.00–$2.25 range for the May 2026 average retail price, which carries a 63.5% implied probability. Wholesale benchmarks have stabilized near $0.20–$0.40 per dozen after sharp year-over-year declines from 2025 peaks above $6, while the BLS retail series for Grade A large eggs printed $2.25 in April and $2.35 in March. Elevated flock numbers and subdued avian-flu pressure have boosted available supply, tempering inflation pass-through and aligning with the 27.5% odds on the adjacent $2.25–$2.50 bucket. With the May CPI release and seasonal demand patterns still ahead, market-implied odds reflect real-money positioning that balances confirmed production gains against residual volatility in feed costs and potential late-month weather effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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