Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 63.5% implied probability to the $2.00–$2.25 range for the national average retail price of a dozen Grade A large eggs in May 2026, driven by sustained supply growth after post-avian influenza flock rebuilding. USDA data show U.S. egg production rising year-over-year with fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks than in 2025 peaks, pushing wholesale prices to lows near $0.17–$0.39 per dozen as of mid-May before modest rebounds. Retail prices have declined for three straight months, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting an April 2026 average of $2.25—down sharply from early 2025 spikes—aligning with the agency’s full-year forecast near $2.16. Key upcoming catalyst is the BLS May CPI release expected in mid-June, which could incorporate any late-month wholesale firmness or seasonal demand shifts while underscoring the market-implied odds as aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$3.25–$3.50 2.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
1%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
64%
$2.25–$2.50
28%
$2.50–$2.75
2%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$3.25–$3.50 2.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
<$1.50
$80 Vol.
1%
$1.50–$1.75
$48 Vol.
1%
$1.75–$2.00
$57 Vol.
8%
$2.00–$2.25
$210 Vol.
64%
$2.25–$2.50
$167 Vol.
28%
$2.50–$2.75
$83 Vol.
2%
$2.75–$3.00
$103 Vol.
1%
$3.00–$3.25
$246 Vol.
2%
$3.25–$3.50
$171 Vol.
2%
≥$3.50
$81 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 63.5% implied probability to the $2.00–$2.25 range for the national average retail price of a dozen Grade A large eggs in May 2026, driven by sustained supply growth after post-avian influenza flock rebuilding. USDA data show U.S. egg production rising year-over-year with fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks than in 2025 peaks, pushing wholesale prices to lows near $0.17–$0.39 per dozen as of mid-May before modest rebounds. Retail prices have declined for three straight months, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting an April 2026 average of $2.25—down sharply from early 2025 spikes—aligning with the agency’s full-year forecast near $2.16. Key upcoming catalyst is the BLS May CPI release expected in mid-June, which could incorporate any late-month wholesale firmness or seasonal demand shifts while underscoring the market-implied odds as aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Volumen
$1,245Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 63.5% implied probability to the $2.00–$2.25 range for the national average retail price of a dozen Grade A large eggs in May 2026, driven by sustained supply growth after post-avian influenza flock rebuilding. USDA data show U.S. egg production rising year-over-year with fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks than in 2025 peaks, pushing wholesale prices to lows near $0.17–$0.39 per dozen as of mid-May before modest rebounds. Retail prices have declined for three straight months, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting an April 2026 average of $2.25—down sharply from early 2025 spikes—aligning with the agency’s full-year forecast near $2.16. Key upcoming catalyst is the BLS May CPI release expected in mid-June, which could incorporate any late-month wholesale firmness or seasonal demand shifts while underscoring the market-implied odds as aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Volumen
$1,245Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 63.5% implied probability to the $2.00–$2.25 range for the national average retail price of a dozen Grade A large eggs in May 2026, driven by sustained supply growth after post-avian influenza flock rebuilding. USDA data show U.S. egg production rising year-over-year with fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks than in 2025 peaks, pushing wholesale prices to lows near $0.17–$0.39 per dozen as of mid-May before modest rebounds. Retail prices have declined for three straight months, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting an April 2026 average of $2.25—down sharply from early 2025 spikes—aligning with the agency’s full-year forecast near $2.16. Key upcoming catalyst is the BLS May CPI release expected in mid-June, which could incorporate any late-month wholesale firmness or seasonal demand shifts while underscoring the market-implied odds as aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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