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icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur
Elecciones·Primaria Del Senado

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur
Elecciones·Primaria Del Senado

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur

Mike Rounds 95.9%

Justin McNeal 2.6%

Kristi Noem 1.7%

Polymarket

$21,964 Vol.

Mike Rounds 95.9%

Justin McNeal 2.6%

Kristi Noem 1.7%

Polymarket

$21,964 Vol.

Mike Rounds

$5,577 Vol.

96%

Justin McNeal

$14,077 Vol.

3%

Kristi Noem

$2,309 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Mike Rounds maintains a commanding lead in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary, driven by his strong name recognition, proven fundraising edge, and broad establishment support within the state's closed GOP primary. An early April poll showed him ahead by nearly 50 points against challenger Justin McNeal, with no subsequent surveys indicating meaningful movement despite limited online criticism. Former Governor Kristi Noem's potential entry ended after the March 31 filing deadline passed without her participation. Trader consensus in current pricing aligns with these structural advantages and the primary's June 2 date, leaving little time for shifts. A late scandal or high-profile endorsement reversal remains the primary theoretical path to an upset, though polling trends and resource gaps present steep barriers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$21,964
Fecha de finalización
28 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Mike Rounds maintains a commanding lead in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary, driven by his strong name recognition, proven fundraising edge, and broad establishment support within the state's closed GOP primary. An early April poll showed him ahead by nearly 50 points against challenger Justin McNeal, with no subsequent surveys indicating meaningful movement despite limited online criticism. Former Governor Kristi Noem's potential entry ended after the March 31 filing deadline passed without her participation. Trader consensus in current pricing aligns with these structural advantages and the primary's June 2 date, leaving little time for shifts. A late scandal or high-profile endorsement reversal remains the primary theoretical path to an upset, though polling trends and resource gaps present steep barriers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$21,964
Fecha de finalización
28 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mike Rounds" con 96%, seguido de "Justin McNeal" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" ha generado $22K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" es "Mike Rounds" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Justin McNeal" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.