Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads Polymarket trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win South Carolina's June 9 Republican Senate primary, bolstered by his overwhelming fundraising edge—over $20 million raised versus challenger Mark Lynch's $5.7 million—and strong incumbency advantages in a deep-red state where primaries determine nominees. Lynch at 13% has gained from Paul Dans' April 10 dropout and endorsement, consolidating right-flank opposition criticizing Graham's foreign policy stances, though no recent polls show Lynch overtaking the senator's name recognition and institutional support. Minor candidates Paul Dans (0.4%) and Thomas Murphy (0.1%) trail due to negligible resources and visibility, with early voting underway heightening focus on turnout among conservative voters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Carolina del Sur
Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Carolina del Sur
Lindsey Graham 86%
Mark Lynch 12.9%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$139,911 Vol.
$139,911 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
86%
Mark Lynch
13%
Paul Dans
<1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
Lindsey Graham 86%
Mark Lynch 12.9%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$139,911 Vol.
$139,911 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
86%
Mark Lynch
13%
Paul Dans
<1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads Polymarket trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win South Carolina's June 9 Republican Senate primary, bolstered by his overwhelming fundraising edge—over $20 million raised versus challenger Mark Lynch's $5.7 million—and strong incumbency advantages in a deep-red state where primaries determine nominees. Lynch at 13% has gained from Paul Dans' April 10 dropout and endorsement, consolidating right-flank opposition criticizing Graham's foreign policy stances, though no recent polls show Lynch overtaking the senator's name recognition and institutional support. Minor candidates Paul Dans (0.4%) and Thomas Murphy (0.1%) trail due to negligible resources and visibility, with early voting underway heightening focus on turnout among conservative voters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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