Charles Booker's 87% implied probability as Kentucky Democratic Senate primary winner stems from his dominant lead in April polling averages, including an 18-point edge over Amy McGrath in Emerson College/FOX56 surveys, reflecting trader consensus on his name recognition from the 2022 nomination and near-upset of McGrath in the 2020 primary. With the May 19 primary four days away, Booker's get-out-the-vote push—including a Louisville rally with former Rep. Jamaal Bowman—has further solidified his position amid a leftward shift in the state Democratic base favoring his progressive platform. McGrath's 9.5% share persists on her veteran status and past nomination, but lacks momentum; field candidates like Pamela Stevenson hold slim chances absent a late turnout surprise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCharles Booker 88%
Amy McGrath 10%
Pamela Stevenson 1.1%
Joel Willett 1.0%
$40,410 Vol.
$40,410 Vol.
Charles Booker
88%
Amy McGrath
10%
Pamela Stevenson
1%
Joel Willett
1%
Dale Romans
1%
Jared Randall
1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
Charles Booker 88%
Amy McGrath 10%
Pamela Stevenson 1.1%
Joel Willett 1.0%
$40,410 Vol.
$40,410 Vol.
Charles Booker
88%
Amy McGrath
10%
Pamela Stevenson
1%
Joel Willett
1%
Dale Romans
1%
Jared Randall
1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Charles Booker's 87% implied probability as Kentucky Democratic Senate primary winner stems from his dominant lead in April polling averages, including an 18-point edge over Amy McGrath in Emerson College/FOX56 surveys, reflecting trader consensus on his name recognition from the 2022 nomination and near-upset of McGrath in the 2020 primary. With the May 19 primary four days away, Booker's get-out-the-vote push—including a Louisville rally with former Rep. Jamaal Bowman—has further solidified his position amid a leftward shift in the state Democratic base favoring his progressive platform. McGrath's 9.5% share persists on her veteran status and past nomination, but lacks momentum; field candidates like Pamela Stevenson hold slim chances absent a late turnout surprise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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