Peter Magyar's recent demands for President Tamás Sulyok to resign by May 31, coupled with threats to pursue constitutional amendments removing him and other officials tied to the prior Fidesz administration, have driven trader sentiment toward a 65.5% implied probability of departure by June 30. Following the Tisza party's electoral victory and Magyar's installation as prime minister in mid-May, renewed public calls in parliament and polling data showing broad Hungarian support for Sulyok's exit have intensified pressure. Sulyok's office has cited Fundamental Law protections and signaled no voluntary step-down, yet the incoming government's parliamentary majority and timeline for legislative action create a narrow window for resolution. Any confirmation of formal proceedings or a late resignation could further shift probabilities before the June 30 cutoff.