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Deportes·Copa Del Mundo

¿Qué equipo reemplazará a Irán en la Copa del Mundo?

icon for ¿Qué equipo reemplazará a Irán en la Copa del Mundo?
Deportes·Copa Del Mundo

¿Qué equipo reemplazará a Irán en la Copa del Mundo?

No Replacement 98.2%

Other 1.1%

UAE <1%

Italy <1%

Polymarket

$72,381 Vol.

No Replacement 98.2%

Other 1.1%

UAE <1%

Italy <1%

Polymarket

$72,381 Vol.

icon for No Replacement

No Replacement

$25,280 Vol.

98%

icon for Other

Other

$5,284 Vol.

1%

icon for UAE

UAE

$6,652 Vol.

1%

icon for Italy

Italy

$31,530 Vol.

1%

icon for Bolivia

Bolivia

$3,634 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including security concerns and U.S. visa issues tied to Middle East conflicts, prompted a Trump envoy proposal for Italy as a replacement in April. However, FIFA has stated no such plans exist under its statutes, which prioritize merit-based qualification without provisions for political substitutions. Italy's sports minister rejected the idea as inappropriate, while Iran has shifted its training base to Tijuana, Mexico, to address logistics and visa hurdles ahead of the June tournament. This official pushback and adaptive measures underpin trader consensus favoring no replacement, though an unexpected Iranian withdrawal due to escalated conflicts could theoretically reopen discussions on contingency options like alternate qualifiers.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$72,381
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including security concerns and U.S. visa issues tied to Middle East conflicts, prompted a Trump envoy proposal for Italy as a replacement in April. However, FIFA has stated no such plans exist under its statutes, which prioritize merit-based qualification without provisions for political substitutions. Italy's sports minister rejected the idea as inappropriate, while Iran has shifted its training base to Tijuana, Mexico, to address logistics and visa hurdles ahead of the June tournament. This official pushback and adaptive measures underpin trader consensus favoring no replacement, though an unexpected Iranian withdrawal due to escalated conflicts could theoretically reopen discussions on contingency options like alternate qualifiers.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$72,381
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué equipo reemplazará a Irán en la Copa del Mundo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "No Replacement" con 98%, seguido de "Other" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué equipo reemplazará a Irán en la Copa del Mundo?" ha generado $72.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué equipo reemplazará a Irán en la Copa del Mundo?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué equipo reemplazará a Irán en la Copa del Mundo?" es "No Replacement" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Other" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué equipo reemplazará a Irán en la Copa del Mundo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.