Apple's long-standing practice of unveiling new iPhone models each September underpins the near-certain market odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain and analyst reports confirm the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max, along with the first foldable iPhone, remain on track for a fall 2026 debut, consistent with prior hardware cycles and Apple's internal development timelines. While the base iPhone 18 may shift to spring 2027 under a revised lineup strategy, the Pro variants satisfy the market criteria for a 2026 launch. Extreme scenarios like major production disruptions or unforeseen regulatory blocks could theoretically intervene, yet none appear credible this close to the expected announcement window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
98% probabilidad
$172,877 Vol.
$172,877 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
98% probabilidad
$172,877 Vol.
$172,877 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's long-standing practice of unveiling new iPhone models each September underpins the near-certain market odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain and analyst reports confirm the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max, along with the first foldable iPhone, remain on track for a fall 2026 debut, consistent with prior hardware cycles and Apple's internal development timelines. While the base iPhone 18 may shift to spring 2027 under a revised lineup strategy, the Pro variants satisfy the market criteria for a 2026 launch. Extreme scenarios like major production disruptions or unforeseen regulatory blocks could theoretically intervene, yet none appear credible this close to the expected announcement window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volumen
$172,877Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's long-standing practice of unveiling new iPhone models each September underpins the near-certain market odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain and analyst reports confirm the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max, along with the first foldable iPhone, remain on track for a fall 2026 debut, consistent with prior hardware cycles and Apple's internal development timelines. While the base iPhone 18 may shift to spring 2027 under a revised lineup strategy, the Pro variants satisfy the market criteria for a 2026 launch. Extreme scenarios like major production disruptions or unforeseen regulatory blocks could theoretically intervene, yet none appear credible this close to the expected announcement window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$172,877Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's long-standing practice of unveiling new iPhone models each September underpins the near-certain market odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain and analyst reports confirm the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max, along with the first foldable iPhone, remain on track for a fall 2026 debut, consistent with prior hardware cycles and Apple's internal development timelines. While the base iPhone 18 may shift to spring 2027 under a revised lineup strategy, the Pro variants satisfy the market criteria for a 2026 launch. Extreme scenarios like major production disruptions or unforeseen regulatory blocks could theoretically intervene, yet none appear credible this close to the expected announcement window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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