xAI's latest Grok 4.3 large language model, rolled out in mid-April 2026, has not published an official score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of research-level mathematical reasoning across unpublished problems in tiers from undergraduate to open research challenges—prompting trader uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. Third-party evaluations place prior Grok 4 variants around 14%, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at 48% on the overall leaderboard, highlighting competitive gaps in advanced math capabilities despite Grok topping recent coding agent benchmarks like PinchBench. xAI's rapid iteration, including upcoming model retirements on May 15 and potential Grok 5 previews, could drive sentiment shifts, but no FrontierMath-specific announcements have emerged in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$20,870 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's latest Grok 4.3 large language model, rolled out in mid-April 2026, has not published an official score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of research-level mathematical reasoning across unpublished problems in tiers from undergraduate to open research challenges—prompting trader uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. Third-party evaluations place prior Grok 4 variants around 14%, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at 48% on the overall leaderboard, highlighting competitive gaps in advanced math capabilities despite Grok topping recent coding agent benchmarks like PinchBench. xAI's rapid iteration, including upcoming model retirements on May 15 and potential Grok 5 previews, could drive sentiment shifts, but no FrontierMath-specific announcements have emerged in the past month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$20,870Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's latest Grok 4.3 large language model, rolled out in mid-April 2026, has not published an official score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of research-level mathematical reasoning across unpublished problems in tiers from undergraduate to open research challenges—prompting trader uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. Third-party evaluations place prior Grok 4 variants around 14%, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at 48% on the overall leaderboard, highlighting competitive gaps in advanced math capabilities despite Grok topping recent coding agent benchmarks like PinchBench. xAI's rapid iteration, including upcoming model retirements on May 15 and potential Grok 5 previews, could drive sentiment shifts, but no FrontierMath-specific announcements have emerged in the past month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$20,870Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's latest Grok 4.3 large language model, rolled out in mid-April 2026, has not published an official score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of research-level mathematical reasoning across unpublished problems in tiers from undergraduate to open research challenges—prompting trader uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. Third-party evaluations place prior Grok 4 variants around 14%, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leader at 48% on the overall leaderboard, highlighting competitive gaps in advanced math capabilities despite Grok topping recent coding agent benchmarks like PinchBench. xAI's rapid iteration, including upcoming model retirements on May 15 and potential Grok 5 previews, could drive sentiment shifts, but no FrontierMath-specific announcements have emerged in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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