Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” leads trader sentiment for the #2 US Spotify Song of 2026 at 87.5% implied probability because the track has delivered sustained dominance, logging hundreds of millions of US streams and frequent top-five daily and weekly chart placements through September. Its late-2025/early-2026 resurgence via TikTok virality and mixtape momentum created a durable streaming base that newer releases struggle to overtake in cumulative totals. Competing tracks such as Ella Langley’s “Choosin Texas” and Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need” post strong recent weekly numbers but trail significantly in year-to-date volume, keeping their odds far lower. With the year-end window closing soon, traders view the established stream lead and historical precedent for long-running hits as decisive factors.