As of mid-August 2026, Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the Billboard Hot 100 for 17 weeks, giving the country newcomer her first chart-topper and highlighting how streaming and radio can sustain a debut hit. Ten artists overall have reached No. 1 this year, including Taylor Swift with five weeks, Bruno Mars with three, and shorter runs from Drake, Mariah Carey, Harry Styles, Bad Bunny, BTS, and Olivia Rodrigo. Ariana Grande’s new entries like “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and “Petal” show ongoing momentum from major pop releases, while Morgan Wallen’s rising track signals potential country crossover strength. Fall album drops, holiday streaming surges, and any late-year blockbusters will determine which additional artists crack the top spot before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
$163,428 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Mariah Carey
78%
Peso Pluma
51%
Post Malone
44%
The Weeknd
29%
Kendrick Lamar
37%
Rihanna
24%
Playboi Carti
23%
Billie Eilish
22%
Future
11%
SZA
38%
Luke Combs
20%
Doja Cat
15%
Tyler, The Creator
15%
Frank Ocean
13%
Zach Bryan
12%
Jack Harlow
19%
Travis Scott
11%
Ed Sheeran
4%
A$AP Rocky
7%
Kanye West
3%
Lil Baby
47%
Morgan Wallen
52%
Sabrina Carpenter
51%
$163,428 Vol.
Mariah Carey
$2,880 Vol.
78%
Peso Pluma
$0 Vol.
51%
Post Malone
$357 Vol.
44%
The Weeknd
$5,196 Vol.
29%
Kendrick Lamar
$4,543 Vol.
37%
Rihanna
$750 Vol.
24%
Playboi Carti
$7,885 Vol.
23%
Billie Eilish
$40,125 Vol.
22%
Future
$6,996 Vol.
11%
SZA
$570 Vol.
38%
Luke Combs
$2,682 Vol.
20%
Doja Cat
$10,873 Vol.
15%
Tyler, The Creator
$560 Vol.
15%
Frank Ocean
$9,021 Vol.
13%
Zach Bryan
$933 Vol.
12%
Jack Harlow
$8,959 Vol.
19%
Travis Scott
$5,400 Vol.
11%
Ed Sheeran
$674 Vol.
4%
A$AP Rocky
$2,067 Vol.
7%
Kanye West
$866 Vol.
3%
Lil Baby
$680 Vol.
47%
Morgan Wallen
$352 Vol.
52%
Sabrina Carpenter
$472 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.As of mid-August 2026, Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the Billboard Hot 100 for 17 weeks, giving the country newcomer her first chart-topper and highlighting how streaming and radio can sustain a debut hit. Ten artists overall have reached No. 1 this year, including Taylor Swift with five weeks, Bruno Mars with three, and shorter runs from Drake, Mariah Carey, Harry Styles, Bad Bunny, BTS, and Olivia Rodrigo. Ariana Grande’s new entries like “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and “Petal” show ongoing momentum from major pop releases, while Morgan Wallen’s rising track signals potential country crossover strength. Fall album drops, holiday streaming surges, and any late-year blockbusters will determine which additional artists crack the top spot before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$163,428End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.As of mid-August 2026, Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the Billboard Hot 100 for 17 weeks, giving the country newcomer her first chart-topper and highlighting how streaming and radio can sustain a debut hit. Ten artists overall have reached No. 1 this year, including Taylor Swift with five weeks, Bruno Mars with three, and shorter runs from Drake, Mariah Carey, Harry Styles, Bad Bunny, BTS, and Olivia Rodrigo. Ariana Grande’s new entries like “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and “Petal” show ongoing momentum from major pop releases, while Morgan Wallen’s rising track signals potential country crossover strength. Fall album drops, holiday streaming surges, and any late-year blockbusters will determine which additional artists crack the top spot before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$163,428End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-August 2026, Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the Billboard Hot 100 for 17 weeks, giving the country newcomer her first chart-topper and highlighting how streaming and radio can sustain a debut hit. Ten artists overall have reached No. 1 this year, including Taylor Swift with five weeks, Bruno Mars with three, and shorter runs from Drake, Mariah Carey, Harry Styles, Bad Bunny, BTS, and Olivia Rodrigo. Ariana Grande’s new entries like “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and “Petal” show ongoing momentum from major pop releases, while Morgan Wallen’s rising track signals potential country crossover strength. Fall album drops, holiday streaming surges, and any late-year blockbusters will determine which additional artists crack the top spot before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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