Sam Smith’s fifth studio album *Hazel Eyes*, due August 21 via Capitol, features the mid-tempo lead single “My Guy” that has generated steady streaming traction but limited radio dominance so far. Traders see first-week U.S. equivalent album units landing in the low-to-mid 20,000s to low 30,000s range because Sam’s core fan base remains loyal yet album sales have trended downward industry-wide amid heavy streaming fragmentation. Key swing factors include final pre-order and pre-save momentum, any last-minute promotional appearances, and direct competition from other major releases that week. Historical precedent for similar mid-cycle pop projects suggests outcomes could shift quickly once opening-day streams and pure sales data arrive, keeping multiple sales brackets nearly even in the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSam Smith 'Hazel Eyes' First Week Album Sales?
Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes' First Week Album Sales?
20-25k 41%
25-30k 41%
35-40k 41%
40k+ 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<20k
38%
20-25k
41%
25-30k
41%
30-35k
38%
35-40k
41%
40k+
41%
20-25k 41%
25-30k 41%
35-40k 41%
40k+ 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<20k
$0 Vol.
38%
20-25k
$0 Vol.
41%
25-30k
$0 Vol.
41%
30-35k
$0 Vol.
38%
35-40k
$0 Vol.
41%
40k+
$0 Vol.
41%
Sam Smith's new album 'Hazel Eyes' is expected to release August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Sam Smith’s fifth studio album *Hazel Eyes*, due August 21 via Capitol, features the mid-tempo lead single “My Guy” that has generated steady streaming traction but limited radio dominance so far. Traders see first-week U.S. equivalent album units landing in the low-to-mid 20,000s to low 30,000s range because Sam’s core fan base remains loyal yet album sales have trended downward industry-wide amid heavy streaming fragmentation. Key swing factors include final pre-order and pre-save momentum, any last-minute promotional appearances, and direct competition from other major releases that week. Historical precedent for similar mid-cycle pop projects suggests outcomes could shift quickly once opening-day streams and pure sales data arrive, keeping multiple sales brackets nearly even in the market.
Sam Smith's new album 'Hazel Eyes' is expected to release August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sam Smith's new album 'Hazel Eyes' is expected to release August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Sam Smith’s fifth studio album *Hazel Eyes*, due August 21 via Capitol, features the mid-tempo lead single “My Guy” that has generated steady streaming traction but limited radio dominance so far. Traders see first-week U.S. equivalent album units landing in the low-to-mid 20,000s to low 30,000s range because Sam’s core fan base remains loyal yet album sales have trended downward industry-wide amid heavy streaming fragmentation. Key swing factors include final pre-order and pre-save momentum, any last-minute promotional appearances, and direct competition from other major releases that week. Historical precedent for similar mid-cycle pop projects suggests outcomes could shift quickly once opening-day streams and pure sales data arrive, keeping multiple sales brackets nearly even in the market.
Sam Smith's new album 'Hazel Eyes' is expected to release August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sam Smith’s fifth studio album *Hazel Eyes*, due August 21 via Capitol, features the mid-tempo lead single “My Guy” that has generated steady streaming traction but limited radio dominance so far. Traders see first-week U.S. equivalent album units landing in the low-to-mid 20,000s to low 30,000s range because Sam’s core fan base remains loyal yet album sales have trended downward industry-wide amid heavy streaming fragmentation. Key swing factors include final pre-order and pre-save momentum, any last-minute promotional appearances, and direct competition from other major releases that week. Historical precedent for similar mid-cycle pop projects suggests outcomes could shift quickly once opening-day streams and pure sales data arrive, keeping multiple sales brackets nearly even in the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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