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icon for Ariana Grande monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?

Ariana Grande monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?

icon for Ariana Grande monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?

Ariana Grande monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?

Justin Bieber

Madonna

Shakira

Ariana Grande

Justin Bieber

Madonna

Shakira

Ariana Grande

NEW
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 115m

$0 Vol.

47%

↑ 110m

$0 Vol.

47%

↑ 105m

$0 Vol.

51%

↑ 100m

$0 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.Ariana Grande’s eighth studio album *Petal* dropped July 31, 2026, immediately driving fresh streams with the title track debuting at No. 1 on the global Spotify chart (7.82 million first-day streams) and the lead single “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sustaining strong chart momentum. Her current Spotify monthly listeners sit near 95 million following the release, down from peaks above 120 million earlier in the year but positioned for a rebound as the full project gains traction. Traders are watching daily streaming velocity, playlist adds, and any follow-up singles or tour announcements through late August, as sustained top-chart performance and viral moments could push listener counts higher before the August 31 cutoff.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.Ariana Grande’s eighth studio album *Petal* dropped July 31, 2026, immediately driving fresh streams with the title track debuting at No. 1 on the global Spotify chart (7.82 million first-day streams) and the lead single “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sustaining strong chart momentum. Her current Spotify monthly listeners sit near 95 million following the release, down from peaks above 120 million earlier in the year but positioned for a rebound as the full project gains traction. Traders are watching daily streaming velocity, playlist adds, and any follow-up singles or tour announcements through late August, as sustained top-chart performance and viral moments could push listener counts higher before the August 31 cutoff.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ariana Grande monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 105m" at 51%, followed by "↑ 100m" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ariana Grande monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ariana Grande monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ariana Grande monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?" is "↑ 105m" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 100m" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ariana Grande monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.