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icon for Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner

Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner

icon for Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner

Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 42%

drop dead - Olivia Rodrigo 42%

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift 39%

Man I Need - Olivia Dean 38%

Polymarket
NEW

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 42%

drop dead - Olivia Rodrigo 42%

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift 39%

Man I Need - Olivia Dean 38%

Polymarket
NEW

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

$20 Vol.

42%

drop dead - Olivia Rodrigo

$10 Vol.

42%

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift

$10 Vol.

39%

Man I Need - Olivia Dean

$20 Vol.

38%

I Just Might - Bruno Mars

$20 Vol.

36%

Aperture - Harry Styles

$20 Vol.

34%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$19 Vol.

41%

WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! - RAYE

$19 Vol.

36%

the cure - Olivia Rodrigo

$17 Vol.

35%

So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean

$19 Vol.

40%

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If a song is not officially nominated for Song of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.The 2027 Song of the Year market remains fluid this early in the cycle, with trader sentiment driven by strong commercial performance and critical positioning of 2026 releases amid a wide field of contenders. Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia,” from her album *The Life of a Showgirl*, leads implied odds near 41% on the strength of its Max Martin co-production, Hot 100 impact, and Swift’s historical Grammy trajectory in the category, though she has yet to win. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” benefits from record-breaking Billboard Hot 100 dominance and country crossover appeal, while Olivia Rodrigo’s “drop dead” and “the cure,” plus Bruno Mars and Olivia Dean tracks, reflect ongoing chart momentum and guild-adjacent buzz. The tight 33–41% spread among frontrunners underscores Song of the Year’s emphasis on songwriting craft, cultural resonance, and unpredictable academy voting, with nominations still months away and room for late releases or shifts to alter the narrative.

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If a song is not officially nominated for Song of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$174
End Date
Feb 7, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:24 AM ET
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If a song is not officially nominated for Song of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If a song is not officially nominated for Song of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.The 2027 Song of the Year market remains fluid this early in the cycle, with trader sentiment driven by strong commercial performance and critical positioning of 2026 releases amid a wide field of contenders. Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia,” from her album *The Life of a Showgirl*, leads implied odds near 41% on the strength of its Max Martin co-production, Hot 100 impact, and Swift’s historical Grammy trajectory in the category, though she has yet to win. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” benefits from record-breaking Billboard Hot 100 dominance and country crossover appeal, while Olivia Rodrigo’s “drop dead” and “the cure,” plus Bruno Mars and Olivia Dean tracks, reflect ongoing chart momentum and guild-adjacent buzz. The tight 33–41% spread among frontrunners underscores Song of the Year’s emphasis on songwriting craft, cultural resonance, and unpredictable academy voting, with nominations still months away and room for late releases or shifts to alter the narrative.

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If a song is not officially nominated for Song of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$174
End Date
Feb 7, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:24 AM ET
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If a song is not officially nominated for Song of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" at 42%, followed by "drop dead - Olivia Rodrigo" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner" is "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "drop dead - Olivia Rodrigo" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.