Iga Świątek leads trader consensus at 30.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's French Open title, buoyed by her semifinal run at the ongoing Internazionali BNL d'Italia where she routed Jessica Pegula for her first top-10 clay win of the season and her strongest red dirt form since early struggles, reaffirming her four-time Roland Garros champion status as the surface specialist. Aryna Sabalenka trails closely at 25.5% despite No. 1 ranking and a dominant 2026 record, but recent clay vulnerabilities—upset quarterfinal losses to Hailey Baptiste in Madrid (saving six match points) and Sorana Cirstea in Rome—plus emerging lower back concerns have tempered enthusiasm against Swiatek's terre battue edge. Elena Rybakina (11.3%) and Coco Gauff (10.0%, defending champion) remain competitive amid Elina Svitolina's Rome quarterfinal upset over Rybakina and Marta Kostyuk's Madrid triumph, underscoring the unpredictable clay-court swing keeping the field tightly bunched.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIga Świątek 31%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Elena Rybakina 11.3%
Coco Gauff 10%
$2,759,700 Vol.
$2,759,700 Vol.
Iga Świątek
31%
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Elena Rybakina
11%
Coco Gauff
10%
Mirra Andreeva
8%
Marta Kostyuk
3%
Elina Svitolina
3%
Linda Nosková
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Iga Świątek 31%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Elena Rybakina 11.3%
Coco Gauff 10%
$2,759,700 Vol.
$2,759,700 Vol.
Iga Świątek
31%
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Elena Rybakina
11%
Coco Gauff
10%
Mirra Andreeva
8%
Marta Kostyuk
3%
Elina Svitolina
3%
Linda Nosková
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iga Świątek leads trader consensus at 30.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's French Open title, buoyed by her semifinal run at the ongoing Internazionali BNL d'Italia where she routed Jessica Pegula for her first top-10 clay win of the season and her strongest red dirt form since early struggles, reaffirming her four-time Roland Garros champion status as the surface specialist. Aryna Sabalenka trails closely at 25.5% despite No. 1 ranking and a dominant 2026 record, but recent clay vulnerabilities—upset quarterfinal losses to Hailey Baptiste in Madrid (saving six match points) and Sorana Cirstea in Rome—plus emerging lower back concerns have tempered enthusiasm against Swiatek's terre battue edge. Elena Rybakina (11.3%) and Coco Gauff (10.0%, defending champion) remain competitive amid Elina Svitolina's Rome quarterfinal upset over Rybakina and Marta Kostyuk's Madrid triumph, underscoring the unpredictable clay-court swing keeping the field tightly bunched.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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