Skip to main content
icon for 2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick
Sports·NFL

2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick

icon for 2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick
Sports·NFL

2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Darian Mensah 31%

Arch Manning 27%

Dante Moore 2%

Dylan Stewart 0

Polymarket
NEW

Darian Mensah 31%

Arch Manning 27%

Dante Moore 2%

Dylan Stewart 0

Polymarket
NEW

Darian Mensah

$11 Vol.

31%

Arch Manning

$11 Vol.

35%

Dante Moore

$11 Vol.

26%

Dylan Stewart

$11 Vol.

32%

Ellis Robinson IV

$11 Vol.

46%

John Mateer

$22 Vol.

-

David Stone

$298 Vol.

27%

Duce Robinson

$11 Vol.

39%

Drew Mestemaker

$11 Vol.

-

Trinidad Chambliss

$11 Vol.

36%

Julian Sayin

$11 Vol.

-

LaNorris Sellers

$11 Vol.

-

Brendan Sorsby

$11 Vol.

45%

Jordan Seaton

$11 Vol.

35%

Byrum Brown

$11 Vol.

40%

Sam Leavitt

$11 Vol.

36%

Leonard Moore

$11 Vol.

37%

CJ Carr

$11 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 NFL Draft first-overall market remains tightly bunched because a deep quarterback class features several prospects with recent production, high-upside traits, and favorable situations heading into the 2026 college season. Arch Manning enters as the consensus top signal-caller after showing late-2025 improvement at Texas, yet Darian Mensah’s strong statistical output and transfer to Miami, Dante Moore’s efficiency at Oregon, and similar profiles from CJ Carr, Drew Mestemaker, and others keep the group separated by only a handful of points in trader pricing. Non-quarterback names like Leonard Moore and David Stone sit just behind, underscoring how little separation exists across positions this far out. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these implied probabilities highlights the wide range of outcomes still possible once 2026 games begin.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$496
End Date
Apr 23, 2027
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 NFL Draft first-overall market remains tightly bunched because a deep quarterback class features several prospects with recent production, high-upside traits, and favorable situations heading into the 2026 college season. Arch Manning enters as the consensus top signal-caller after showing late-2025 improvement at Texas, yet Darian Mensah’s strong statistical output and transfer to Miami, Dante Moore’s efficiency at Oregon, and similar profiles from CJ Carr, Drew Mestemaker, and others keep the group separated by only a handful of points in trader pricing. Non-quarterback names like Leonard Moore and David Stone sit just behind, underscoring how little separation exists across positions this far out. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these implied probabilities highlights the wide range of outcomes still possible once 2026 games begin.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$496
End Date
Apr 23, 2027
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

17%
icon for Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

13%
icon for Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

29%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ellis Robinson IV" at 46%, followed by "Brendan Sorsby" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is "Ellis Robinson IV" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brendan Sorsby" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.