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icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

Darian Mensah 19%

Trinidad Chambliss 18%

Byrum Brown 9.7%

Jeremiah Smith 9%

Polymarket

$18,453 Vol.

Darian Mensah 19%

Trinidad Chambliss 18%

Byrum Brown 9.7%

Jeremiah Smith 9%

Polymarket

$18,453 Vol.

Darian Mensah

$2,575 Vol.

19%

Trinidad Chambliss

$1,622 Vol.

18%

Byrum Brown

$52 Vol.

10%

Jeremiah Smith

$705 Vol.

9%

Arch Manning

$1,327 Vol.

8%

Gunner Stockton

$325 Vol.

8%

Julian Sayin

$1,274 Vol.

5%

Dante Moore

$1,146 Vol.

5%

LaNorris Sellers

$180 Vol.

5%

CJ Carr

$750 Vol.

5%

Malachi Toney

$1,171 Vol.

5%

Josh Hoover

$247 Vol.

5%

Marcel Reed

$190 Vol.

4%

Keelon Russell

$308 Vol.

4%

Austin Mack

$295 Vol.

4%

Drew Mestemaker

$62 Vol.

3%

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele

$236 Vol.

3%

Will Hammond

$79 Vol.

3%

Kevin Jennings

$356 Vol.

3%

Rocco Becht

$158 Vol.

3%

Brendan Sorsby

$177 Vol.

3%

Bo Jackson

$62 Vol.

3%

Sam Leavitt

$2,340 Vol.

3%

Kewan Lacy

$205 Vol.

3%

Ahmad Hardy

$62 Vol.

3%

Demond Williams Jr.

$72 Vol.

2%

Jayden Maiava

$723 Vol.

2%

John Mateer

$413 Vol.

1%

Bryce Underwood

$1,343 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trinidad Chambliss and Darian Mensah have pulled ahead of the field as the top two implied probabilities in the early 2026 Heisman race, driven by their strong starts and signature performances through the first three weeks. Chambliss vaulted into the lead after directing Ole Miss to a 32-24 road win over LSU, completing 33 of 48 passes for 363 yards and two touchdowns while adding a rushing score in a high-stakes SEC matchup. Mensah has posted elite efficiency numbers for undefeated Miami, including an ACC-record streak of consecutive completions in a recent win. Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, and a cluster of other QBs and receivers trail with single-digit shares, reflecting the wide-open nature of the award this early. With no player yet separating decisively and “Other” holding half the probability, the market shows how quickly momentum can shift based on upcoming conference games, statistical volume, and team playoff positioning.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.

If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,453
End Date
Dec 27, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trinidad Chambliss and Darian Mensah have pulled ahead of the field as the top two implied probabilities in the early 2026 Heisman race, driven by their strong starts and signature performances through the first three weeks. Chambliss vaulted into the lead after directing Ole Miss to a 32-24 road win over LSU, completing 33 of 48 passes for 363 yards and two touchdowns while adding a rushing score in a high-stakes SEC matchup. Mensah has posted elite efficiency numbers for undefeated Miami, including an ACC-record streak of consecutive completions in a recent win. Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, and a cluster of other QBs and receivers trail with single-digit shares, reflecting the wide-open nature of the award this early. With no player yet separating decisively and “Other” holding half the probability, the market shows how quickly momentum can shift based on upcoming conference games, statistical volume, and team playoff positioning.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.

If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,453
End Date
Dec 27, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Darian Mensah" at 19%, followed by "Trinidad Chambliss" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" has generated $18.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is "Darian Mensah" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trinidad Chambliss" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.