Trinidad Chambliss and Darian Mensah have pulled ahead of the field as the top two implied probabilities in the early 2026 Heisman race, driven by their strong starts and signature performances through the first three weeks. Chambliss vaulted into the lead after directing Ole Miss to a 32-24 road win over LSU, completing 33 of 48 passes for 363 yards and two touchdowns while adding a rushing score in a high-stakes SEC matchup. Mensah has posted elite efficiency numbers for undefeated Miami, including an ACC-record streak of consecutive completions in a recent win. Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, and a cluster of other QBs and receivers trail with single-digit shares, reflecting the wide-open nature of the award this early. With no player yet separating decisively and “Other” holding half the probability, the market shows how quickly momentum can shift based on upcoming conference games, statistical volume, and team playoff positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
Darian Mensah 19%
Trinidad Chambliss 18%
Byrum Brown 9.7%
Jeremiah Smith 9%
$18,453 Vol.
$18,453 Vol.
Darian Mensah
19%
Trinidad Chambliss
18%
Byrum Brown
10%
Jeremiah Smith
9%
Arch Manning
8%
Gunner Stockton
8%
Julian Sayin
5%
Dante Moore
5%
LaNorris Sellers
5%
CJ Carr
5%
Malachi Toney
5%
Josh Hoover
5%
Marcel Reed
4%
Keelon Russell
4%
Austin Mack
4%
Drew Mestemaker
3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
3%
Will Hammond
3%
Kevin Jennings
3%
Rocco Becht
3%
Brendan Sorsby
3%
Bo Jackson
3%
Sam Leavitt
3%
Kewan Lacy
3%
Ahmad Hardy
3%
Demond Williams Jr.
2%
Jayden Maiava
2%
John Mateer
1%
Bryce Underwood
<1%
Darian Mensah 19%
Trinidad Chambliss 18%
Byrum Brown 9.7%
Jeremiah Smith 9%
$18,453 Vol.
$18,453 Vol.
Darian Mensah
19%
Trinidad Chambliss
18%
Byrum Brown
10%
Jeremiah Smith
9%
Arch Manning
8%
Gunner Stockton
8%
Julian Sayin
5%
Dante Moore
5%
LaNorris Sellers
5%
CJ Carr
5%
Malachi Toney
5%
Josh Hoover
5%
Marcel Reed
4%
Keelon Russell
4%
Austin Mack
4%
Drew Mestemaker
3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
3%
Will Hammond
3%
Kevin Jennings
3%
Rocco Becht
3%
Brendan Sorsby
3%
Bo Jackson
3%
Sam Leavitt
3%
Kewan Lacy
3%
Ahmad Hardy
3%
Demond Williams Jr.
2%
Jayden Maiava
2%
John Mateer
1%
Bryce Underwood
<1%
If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trinidad Chambliss and Darian Mensah have pulled ahead of the field as the top two implied probabilities in the early 2026 Heisman race, driven by their strong starts and signature performances through the first three weeks. Chambliss vaulted into the lead after directing Ole Miss to a 32-24 road win over LSU, completing 33 of 48 passes for 363 yards and two touchdowns while adding a rushing score in a high-stakes SEC matchup. Mensah has posted elite efficiency numbers for undefeated Miami, including an ACC-record streak of consecutive completions in a recent win. Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, and a cluster of other QBs and receivers trail with single-digit shares, reflecting the wide-open nature of the award this early. With no player yet separating decisively and “Other” holding half the probability, the market shows how quickly momentum can shift based on upcoming conference games, statistical volume, and team playoff positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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