Texas Tech Red Raiders hold the highest implied probability in the Big 12 title market at 32% thanks to their status as defending champions and an exceptionally favorable remaining conference schedule that avoids BYU and Utah while featuring no other ranked opponents. Recent analytics from FPI show a tight three-team race, with Utah and BYU close behind at 17% and 18% after strong 3-0 starts and returning production at key positions like quarterback and running back. Trader consensus reflects this parity, as early-season close wins for the Red Raiders and the conference's history of one-score games have kept probabilities bunched, with Kansas State and Houston as longer-shot contenders amid roster turnover and coaching transitions across the league.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTexas Tech Red Raiders 36%
BYU Cougars 18%
Utah Utes 16%
Kansas State Wildcats 12.3%
$10,158 Vol.
$10,158 Vol.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
36%
BYU Cougars
18%
Utah Utes
16%
Kansas State Wildcats
12%
Houston Cougars
9%
Oklahoma State Cowboys
8%
Arizona State Sun Devils
8%
Arizona Wildcats
5%
West Virginia Mountaineers
5%
UCF Knights
5%
Cincinnati Bearcats
5%
Baylor Bears
3%
TCU Horned Frogs
3%
Colorado Buffaloes
3%
Iowa State Cyclones
3%
Kansas Jayhawks
2%
Texas Tech Red Raiders 36%
BYU Cougars 18%
Utah Utes 16%
Kansas State Wildcats 12.3%
$10,158 Vol.
$10,158 Vol.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
36%
BYU Cougars
18%
Utah Utes
16%
Kansas State Wildcats
12%
Houston Cougars
9%
Oklahoma State Cowboys
8%
Arizona State Sun Devils
8%
Arizona Wildcats
5%
West Virginia Mountaineers
5%
UCF Knights
5%
Cincinnati Bearcats
5%
Baylor Bears
3%
TCU Horned Frogs
3%
Colorado Buffaloes
3%
Iowa State Cyclones
3%
Kansas Jayhawks
2%
If this championship is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Big 12 Conference (https://big12sports.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this championship is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Big 12 Conference (https://big12sports.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Texas Tech Red Raiders hold the highest implied probability in the Big 12 title market at 32% thanks to their status as defending champions and an exceptionally favorable remaining conference schedule that avoids BYU and Utah while featuring no other ranked opponents. Recent analytics from FPI show a tight three-team race, with Utah and BYU close behind at 17% and 18% after strong 3-0 starts and returning production at key positions like quarterback and running back. Trader consensus reflects this parity, as early-season close wins for the Red Raiders and the conference's history of one-score games have kept probabilities bunched, with Kansas State and Houston as longer-shot contenders amid roster turnover and coaching transitions across the league.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions