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icon for Anthropic IPO by __?
Finance·IPO

Anthropic IPO by __?

icon for Anthropic IPO by __?
Finance·IPO

Anthropic IPO by __?

$3,695,479 Vol.

Jun 30, 2027
Polymarket

$3,695,479 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30, 2026

$1,067,738 Vol.

<1%

October 15, 2026

$121,164 Vol.

<1%

October 31, 2026

$1,022,918 Vol.

3%

November 15, 2026

$55,870 Vol.

30%

November 30, 2026

$95,879 Vol.

57%

December 15, 2026

$74,301 Vol.

74%

December 31, 2026

$824,446 Vol.

81%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion underpins trader expectations for a 2026 IPO, with annualized run-rate climbing from roughly $65 billion in July toward $100 billion or more by year-end, supporting discussions of a potential $2 trillion valuation. Recent reports indicate the company has shifted its target listing to November after confidential S-1 filing in June, citing the desire to present third-quarter results while finalizing a $15 billion revolving credit facility and engaging banks including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. Executive meetings with investors and presentations by leadership continue amid CEO Dario Amodei’s public comments on AI safety, which have not slowed preparations. Market participants will monitor any prospectus release in coming weeks and macroeconomic conditions affecting large tech offerings as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,695,479
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion underpins trader expectations for a 2026 IPO, with annualized run-rate climbing from roughly $65 billion in July toward $100 billion or more by year-end, supporting discussions of a potential $2 trillion valuation. Recent reports indicate the company has shifted its target listing to November after confidential S-1 filing in June, citing the desire to present third-quarter results while finalizing a $15 billion revolving credit facility and engaging banks including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. Executive meetings with investors and presentations by leadership continue amid CEO Dario Amodei’s public comments on AI safety, which have not slowed preparations. Market participants will monitor any prospectus release in coming weeks and macroeconomic conditions affecting large tech offerings as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,695,479
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthropic IPO by __?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 81%, followed by "December 15, 2026" at 74%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Anthropic IPO by __?" has generated $3.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Anthropic IPO by __?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Anthropic IPO by __?" is "December 31, 2026" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "December 15, 2026" at 74%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Anthropic IPO by __?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.