Recent polling averages show Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs leading Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly 6-7 points statewide ahead of the November 3 general election, with Maricopa County remaining the decisive battleground given its share of Arizona voters. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with over 70 percent after consolidating support from Trump-aligned voters, while Hobbs advanced unopposed; this first election under Proposition 131 pairs each with a lieutenant governor running mate. Trader consensus reflected in the 50 percent pricing for Hobbs and multiple alternatives versus Biggs at 26 percent tracks the county's narrow 2022 results and current surveys showing modest Democratic edges in suburban and independent blocs alongside Republican strength in rural precincts. Factors sustaining the tight positioning include persistent partisan consolidation gaps, cross-pressured independents, and limited late-cycle movement on issues such as housing costs and border security. Separation could emerge from final turnout differentials, additional joint-ticket messaging, or shifts in Maricopa-specific polling before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Andy Biggs (R)
28%
Katie Hobbs (D)
52%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Andy Biggs (R)
$0 Vol.
28%
Katie Hobbs (D)
$21 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Recent polling averages show Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs leading Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly 6-7 points statewide ahead of the November 3 general election, with Maricopa County remaining the decisive battleground given its share of Arizona voters. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with over 70 percent after consolidating support from Trump-aligned voters, while Hobbs advanced unopposed; this first election under Proposition 131 pairs each with a lieutenant governor running mate. Trader consensus reflected in the 50 percent pricing for Hobbs and multiple alternatives versus Biggs at 26 percent tracks the county's narrow 2022 results and current surveys showing modest Democratic edges in suburban and independent blocs alongside Republican strength in rural precincts. Factors sustaining the tight positioning include persistent partisan consolidation gaps, cross-pressured independents, and limited late-cycle movement on issues such as housing costs and border security. Separation could emerge from final turnout differentials, additional joint-ticket messaging, or shifts in Maricopa-specific polling before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$21End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Recent polling averages show Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs leading Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly 6-7 points statewide ahead of the November 3 general election, with Maricopa County remaining the decisive battleground given its share of Arizona voters. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with over 70 percent after consolidating support from Trump-aligned voters, while Hobbs advanced unopposed; this first election under Proposition 131 pairs each with a lieutenant governor running mate. Trader consensus reflected in the 50 percent pricing for Hobbs and multiple alternatives versus Biggs at 26 percent tracks the county's narrow 2022 results and current surveys showing modest Democratic edges in suburban and independent blocs alongside Republican strength in rural precincts. Factors sustaining the tight positioning include persistent partisan consolidation gaps, cross-pressured independents, and limited late-cycle movement on issues such as housing costs and border security. Separation could emerge from final turnout differentials, additional joint-ticket messaging, or shifts in Maricopa-specific polling before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Volume
$21End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages show Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs leading Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly 6-7 points statewide ahead of the November 3 general election, with Maricopa County remaining the decisive battleground given its share of Arizona voters. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with over 70 percent after consolidating support from Trump-aligned voters, while Hobbs advanced unopposed; this first election under Proposition 131 pairs each with a lieutenant governor running mate. Trader consensus reflected in the 50 percent pricing for Hobbs and multiple alternatives versus Biggs at 26 percent tracks the county's narrow 2022 results and current surveys showing modest Democratic edges in suburban and independent blocs alongside Republican strength in rural precincts. Factors sustaining the tight positioning include persistent partisan consolidation gaps, cross-pressured independents, and limited late-cycle movement on issues such as housing costs and border security. Separation could emerge from final turnout differentials, additional joint-ticket messaging, or shifts in Maricopa-specific polling before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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