Republican incumbent Eli Crane defeated Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez by roughly 1.2 percentage points in Arizona’s 2nd congressional district, a rematch of the 2024 race where Crane won by about 9 points. Late returns from counties including Navajo, Pinal, and Yavapai produced repeated lead changes before the Associated Press called the contest on November 9 with more than 98 percent of votes counted. The final unofficial margin of approximately 3,500–3,800 votes falls well outside Arizona’s automatic recount threshold of 0.5 points and aligns with the district’s current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory of 0–3 percent. Certification is scheduled by November 23, after which any remaining provisional or mail ballots could be finalized.
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