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icon for Big Brother Season 28: Thursday First Eviction (July 9)

Big Brother Season 28: Thursday First Eviction (July 9)

icon for Big Brother Season 28: Thursday First Eviction (July 9)

Big Brother Season 28: Thursday First Eviction (July 9)

Kamu Kirk 50%

Lyric Medeiros 50%

Mallory Aurichio 50%

Melody Morris 50%

Polymarket
NEW

Kamu Kirk 50%

Lyric Medeiros 50%

Mallory Aurichio 50%

Melody Morris 50%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Kamu Kirk

Kamu Kirk

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Lyric Medeiros

Lyric Medeiros

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Mallory Aurichio

Mallory Aurichio

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Melody Morris

Melody Morris

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Rome Seymour

Rome Seymour

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Taylor Brown

Taylor Brown

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Yash Patel

Yash Patel

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for No Eviction

No Eviction

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Ashley Trail

Ashley Trail

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Barrett Pfeiffer

Barrett Pfeiffer

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Chuk Anyanwu

Chuk Anyanwu

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Drew Campbell

Drew Campbell

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Haley Thogmartin

Haley Thogmartin

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Jason De Puy

Jason De Puy

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for LaTrice Verrett

LaTrice Verrett

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is evicted from Big Brother season 28 on any episode which airs on July 9, 2026, ET. An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition. Evictions will qualify regardless of if they are within a standard eviction cycle, as a part of a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance, so long as they take place within the structure of the competition. If two individuals are evicted at exactly the same time, this market will resolve based on the candidate whose listed first name comes first alphabetically. Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count. If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction. This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by July 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Eviction”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28.The season premiere on July 9 with its 90-minute kickoff and "Time Trip" theme has left all houseguests—including Ashley Trail, Barrett Pfeiffer, Chuk Anyanwu, and the rest of the 20-plus cast—closely matched in early trader sentiment. No alliances, competitions, or nomination cycles have yet created clear frontrunners, while the returning Block Buster twist and standard Head of Household/Power of Veto structure keep every outcome fluid. Historical patterns show first-week evictions often hinge on random social dynamics and early missteps rather than established gameplay, producing the broad 49.5–50% implied probabilities across individuals and the slim "No Eviction" chance.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is evicted from Big Brother season 28 on any episode which airs on July 9, 2026, ET.

An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition.

Evictions will qualify regardless of if they are within a standard eviction cycle, as a part of a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance, so long as they take place within the structure of the competition.

If two individuals are evicted at exactly the same time, this market will resolve based on the candidate whose listed first name comes first alphabetically.

Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count.

If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction.

This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by July 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Eviction”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is evicted from Big Brother season 28 on any episode which airs on July 9, 2026, ET. An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition. Evictions will qualify regardless of if they are within a standard eviction cycle, as a part of a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance, so long as they take place within the structure of the competition. If two individuals are evicted at exactly the same time, this market will resolve based on the candidate whose listed first name comes first alphabetically. Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count. If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction. This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by July 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Eviction”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is evicted from Big Brother season 28 on any episode which airs on July 9, 2026, ET. An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition. Evictions will qualify regardless of if they are within a standard eviction cycle, as a part of a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance, so long as they take place within the structure of the competition. If two individuals are evicted at exactly the same time, this market will resolve based on the candidate whose listed first name comes first alphabetically. Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count. If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction. This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by July 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Eviction”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28.The season premiere on July 9 with its 90-minute kickoff and "Time Trip" theme has left all houseguests—including Ashley Trail, Barrett Pfeiffer, Chuk Anyanwu, and the rest of the 20-plus cast—closely matched in early trader sentiment. No alliances, competitions, or nomination cycles have yet created clear frontrunners, while the returning Block Buster twist and standard Head of Household/Power of Veto structure keep every outcome fluid. Historical patterns show first-week evictions often hinge on random social dynamics and early missteps rather than established gameplay, producing the broad 49.5–50% implied probabilities across individuals and the slim "No Eviction" chance.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is evicted from Big Brother season 28 on any episode which airs on July 9, 2026, ET.

An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition.

Evictions will qualify regardless of if they are within a standard eviction cycle, as a part of a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance, so long as they take place within the structure of the competition.

If two individuals are evicted at exactly the same time, this market will resolve based on the candidate whose listed first name comes first alphabetically.

Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count.

If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction.

This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by July 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Eviction”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is evicted from Big Brother season 28 on any episode which airs on July 9, 2026, ET. An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition. Evictions will qualify regardless of if they are within a standard eviction cycle, as a part of a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance, so long as they take place within the structure of the competition. If two individuals are evicted at exactly the same time, this market will resolve based on the candidate whose listed first name comes first alphabetically. Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count. If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction. This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by July 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Eviction”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Big Brother Season 28: Thursday First Eviction (July 9)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kamu Kirk" at 50%, followed by "Lyric Medeiros" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Big Brother Season 28: Thursday First Eviction (July 9)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Big Brother Season 28: Thursday First Eviction (July 9)," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Big Brother Season 28: Thursday First Eviction (July 9)" is "Kamu Kirk" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lyric Medeiros" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Big Brother Season 28: Thursday First Eviction (July 9)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.