Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands near-certain market-implied odds for the Billboard Hot 100 dated September 5 due to its record-setting dominance, including multiple non-consecutive weeks at No. 1, sustained leadership on Streaming Songs and Hot Country Songs, and consistent multi-metric performance across streams, radio audience, and sales. The track’s crossover appeal as a country ballad with broad radio rotation and cultural staying power has created a wide gap over competitors. An upset would require an unforeseen late surge from another single—such as a massive debut or viral boost—during the final tracking days, though current momentum makes such a shift improbable before the chart locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 5
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 5
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 100.0%
Petal - Ariana Grande <1%
Boston - Stella Lefty <1%
Be Her - Ella Langley <1%
$4,248 Vol.
$4,248 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
Petal - Ariana Grande
No
Boston - Stella Lefty
No
Be Her - Ella Langley
No
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
Yes
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
No
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
No
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
No
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
No
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 100.0%
Petal - Ariana Grande <1%
Boston - Stella Lefty <1%
Be Her - Ella Langley <1%
$4,248 Vol.
$4,248 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
Petal - Ariana Grande
$873 Vol.
No
Boston - Stella Lefty
$374 Vol.
No
Be Her - Ella Langley
$393 Vol.
No
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$847 Vol.
Yes
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
$400 Vol.
No
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$849 Vol.
No
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$256 Vol.
No
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$258 Vol.
No
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands near-certain market-implied odds for the Billboard Hot 100 dated September 5 due to its record-setting dominance, including multiple non-consecutive weeks at No. 1, sustained leadership on Streaming Songs and Hot Country Songs, and consistent multi-metric performance across streams, radio audience, and sales. The track’s crossover appeal as a country ballad with broad radio rotation and cultural staying power has created a wide gap over competitors. An upset would require an unforeseen late surge from another single—such as a massive debut or viral boost—during the final tracking days, though current momentum makes such a shift improbable before the chart locks.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Volume
$4,248End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands near-certain market-implied odds for the Billboard Hot 100 dated September 5 due to its record-setting dominance, including multiple non-consecutive weeks at No. 1, sustained leadership on Streaming Songs and Hot Country Songs, and consistent multi-metric performance across streams, radio audience, and sales. The track’s crossover appeal as a country ballad with broad radio rotation and cultural staying power has created a wide gap over competitors. An upset would require an unforeseen late surge from another single—such as a massive debut or viral boost—during the final tracking days, though current momentum makes such a shift improbable before the chart locks.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$4,248End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands near-certain market-implied odds for the Billboard Hot 100 dated September 5 due to its record-setting dominance, including multiple non-consecutive weeks at No. 1, sustained leadership on Streaming Songs and Hot Country Songs, and consistent multi-metric performance across streams, radio audience, and sales. The track’s crossover appeal as a country ballad with broad radio rotation and cultural staying power has created a wide gap over competitors. An upset would require an unforeseen late surge from another single—such as a massive debut or viral boost—during the final tracking days, though current momentum makes such a shift improbable before the chart locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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