Scott Wiener maintains a modest lead in the CA-11 general election matchup against Connie Chan, reflecting his stronger June primary performance (40.7% to 29.7%), substantial fundraising edge with over $1.2 million cash on hand compared to Chan's roughly $360,000, and broader precinct support across San Francisco. The contest stays competitive due to Chan's polling gains among progressives, Nancy Pelosi's endorsement, and clear policy contrasts on housing density and tenant protections. Chan's recent shift away from Board of Supervisors committee work to campaign full-time has drawn criticism over constituent service but highlights her intensified focus ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as a close race where turnout among key voting blocs, additional independent expenditures, or late local economic developments could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$12,983 Vol.
$12,983 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
60%
Connie Chan
41%
$12,983 Vol.
$12,983 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
$2,978 Vol.
60%
Connie Chan
$10,006 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener maintains a modest lead in the CA-11 general election matchup against Connie Chan, reflecting his stronger June primary performance (40.7% to 29.7%), substantial fundraising edge with over $1.2 million cash on hand compared to Chan's roughly $360,000, and broader precinct support across San Francisco. The contest stays competitive due to Chan's polling gains among progressives, Nancy Pelosi's endorsement, and clear policy contrasts on housing density and tenant protections. Chan's recent shift away from Board of Supervisors committee work to campaign full-time has drawn criticism over constituent service but highlights her intensified focus ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as a close race where turnout among key voting blocs, additional independent expenditures, or late local economic developments could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
Volume
$12,983End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener maintains a modest lead in the CA-11 general election matchup against Connie Chan, reflecting his stronger June primary performance (40.7% to 29.7%), substantial fundraising edge with over $1.2 million cash on hand compared to Chan's roughly $360,000, and broader precinct support across San Francisco. The contest stays competitive due to Chan's polling gains among progressives, Nancy Pelosi's endorsement, and clear policy contrasts on housing density and tenant protections. Chan's recent shift away from Board of Supervisors committee work to campaign full-time has drawn criticism over constituent service but highlights her intensified focus ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as a close race where turnout among key voting blocs, additional independent expenditures, or late local economic developments could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,983End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scott Wiener maintains a modest lead in the CA-11 general election matchup against Connie Chan, reflecting his stronger June primary performance (40.7% to 29.7%), substantial fundraising edge with over $1.2 million cash on hand compared to Chan's roughly $360,000, and broader precinct support across San Francisco. The contest stays competitive due to Chan's polling gains among progressives, Nancy Pelosi's endorsement, and clear policy contrasts on housing density and tenant protections. Chan's recent shift away from Board of Supervisors committee work to campaign full-time has drawn criticism over constituent service but highlights her intensified focus ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as a close race where turnout among key voting blocs, additional independent expenditures, or late local economic developments could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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