Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive purges of the People’s Liberation Army high command and senior Communist Party figures has driven the strong trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent expulsions of figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, alongside investigations into over 100 officers, have removed potential rivals and reinforced loyalty within the Central Military Commission and security apparatus ahead of the 21st Party Congress. These actions, framed officially as targeting corruption and disloyalty, align with Xi’s emphasis on internal stability and risk prevention. While low-probability disruptions like sudden leadership health events, major external crises, or unresolved factional tensions ahead of the 2027 congress could theoretically shift dynamics, current elite management and institutional controls make organized challenges highly unlikely.