Skip to main content
icon for Cincinnati Open: Winner
Sports·ATP

Cincinnati Open: Winner

icon for Cincinnati Open: Winner
Sports·ATP

Cincinnati Open: Winner

Alexander Zverev 22%

Ben Shelton 18%

Alex Michelsen 14.1%

Matteo Berrettini 13.1%

Polymarket

$49,250 Vol.

Alexander Zverev 22%

Ben Shelton 18%

Alex Michelsen 14.1%

Matteo Berrettini 13.1%

Polymarket

$49,250 Vol.

Daniel Altmaier

$665 Vol.

4%

Matteo Arnaldi

$223 Vol.

<1%

Terence Atmane

$379 Vol.

14%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$404 Vol.

6%

Sebastian Baez

$232 Vol.

<1%

Zizou Bergs

$218 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Berrettini

$309 Vol.

13%

Alexander Blockx

$289 Vol.

8%

Nuno Borges

$253 Vol.

<1%

Ignacio Buse

$235 Vol.

<1%

Pablo Carreno Busta

$234 Vol.

<1%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

$243 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Cerundolo

$247 Vol.

<1%

Flavio Cobolli

$902 Vol.

12%

Luciano Darderi

$299 Vol.

15%

Alex de Minaur

$493 Vol.

5%

Novak Djokovic

$4,887 Vol.

1%

James Duckworth

$238 Vol.

<1%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$264 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Fery

$299 Vol.

14%

Arthur Fils

$305 Vol.

6%

Joao Fonseca

$383 Vol.

4%

Taylor Fritz

$559 Vol.

13%

Yannick Hanfmann

$192 Vol.

<1%

Ugo Humbert

$320 Vol.

13%

Hubert Hurkacz

$299 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Jodar

$4,963 Vol.

8%

Miomir Kecmanovic

$192 Vol.

<1%

Aleksandar Kovacevic

$187 Vol.

<1%

Martin Landaluce

$213 Vol.

<1%

Jiri Lehecka

$337 Vol.

2%

Daniil Medvedev

$274 Vol.

4%

Jakub Mensik

$869 Vol.

6%

Alex Michelsen

$299 Vol.

14%

Lorenzo Musetti

$493 Vol.

2%

Brandon Nakashima

$302 Vol.

4%

Mariano Navone

$250 Vol.

13%

Cameron Norrie

$299 Vol.

13%

Tommy Paul

$294 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Rinderknech

$261 Vol.

<1%

Andrey Rublev

$275 Vol.

3%

Casper Ruud

$268 Vol.

15%

Denis Shapovalov

$271 Vol.

<1%

Ben Shelton

$2,438 Vol.

18%

Jan-Lennard Struff

$217 Vol.

<1%

Alejandro Tabilo

$215 Vol.

<1%

Frances Tiafoe

$325 Vol.

8%

Learner Tien

$366 Vol.

15%

Thiago Agustin Tirante

$233 Vol.

<1%

Valentin Vacherot

$192 Vol.

<1%

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

$489 Vol.

<1%

Botic van de Zandschulp

$245 Vol.

5%

Alexander Zverev

$6,295 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of top-ranked players Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz due to injuries has created a wide-open field at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, an ATP Masters 1000 hard-court event, resulting in bunched implied probabilities across contenders. Alexander Zverev, the top seed and recent French Open champion, holds the highest market share at 21.5% as traders weigh his seven Masters titles and strong hard-court history against a challenging draw that includes potential early tests and a possible semifinal against three-time champion Novak Djokovic. Multiple next-gen and established players like Learner Tien, Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, and others cluster between roughly 15% and 3%, reflecting the competitive depth, recent form variations, and draw positioning without dominant favorites. This distribution captures trader consensus on the elevated upset potential in a best-of-three format where no single player exceeds a modest edge.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,250
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of top-ranked players Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz due to injuries has created a wide-open field at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, an ATP Masters 1000 hard-court event, resulting in bunched implied probabilities across contenders. Alexander Zverev, the top seed and recent French Open champion, holds the highest market share at 21.5% as traders weigh his seven Masters titles and strong hard-court history against a challenging draw that includes potential early tests and a possible semifinal against three-time champion Novak Djokovic. Multiple next-gen and established players like Learner Tien, Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, and others cluster between roughly 15% and 3%, reflecting the competitive depth, recent form variations, and draw positioning without dominant favorites. This distribution captures trader consensus on the elevated upset potential in a best-of-three format where no single player exceeds a modest edge.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,250
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

51%
icon for Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?

Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?

41%
icon for Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Krajicek/Mektic vs Cash/Nakashima

Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Krajicek/Mektic vs Cash/Nakashima

63%
Krajicek/Mektic

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Cincinnati Open: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 78+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 23%, followed by "Ben Shelton" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Cincinnati Open: Winner" has generated $49.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Cincinnati Open: Winner," browse the 78+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Cincinnati Open: Winner" is "Alexander Zverev" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ben Shelton" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Cincinnati Open: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.