The new links layout at Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg, with its dune-framed par-3s exposed to Atlantic winds, sets a closely balanced stage for the Irish Open hole-in-one market at 50% implied probability. A strong field including multiple major winners and accurate iron players boosts the volume of attempts across four rounds, yet variable September conditions—persistent showers, moderate-to-fresh breezes, and firm or softening greens—introduce enough variability to keep outcomes even. Calm spells or favorable pin placements could elevate ace chances on shorter holes, while gustier setups or firmer turf typically suppress precision approaches. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing captures this equilibrium between opportunity and the inherent unpredictability of links golf.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated50% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
50% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The new links layout at Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg, with its dune-framed par-3s exposed to Atlantic winds, sets a closely balanced stage for the Irish Open hole-in-one market at 50% implied probability. A strong field including multiple major winners and accurate iron players boosts the volume of attempts across four rounds, yet variable September conditions—persistent showers, moderate-to-fresh breezes, and firm or softening greens—introduce enough variability to keep outcomes even. Calm spells or favorable pin placements could elevate ace chances on shorter holes, while gustier setups or firmer turf typically suppress precision approaches. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing captures this equilibrium between opportunity and the inherent unpredictability of links golf.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The new links layout at Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg, with its dune-framed par-3s exposed to Atlantic winds, sets a closely balanced stage for the Irish Open hole-in-one market at 50% implied probability. A strong field including multiple major winners and accurate iron players boosts the volume of attempts across four rounds, yet variable September conditions—persistent showers, moderate-to-fresh breezes, and firm or softening greens—introduce enough variability to keep outcomes even. Calm spells or favorable pin placements could elevate ace chances on shorter holes, while gustier setups or firmer turf typically suppress precision approaches. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing captures this equilibrium between opportunity and the inherent unpredictability of links golf.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The new links layout at Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg, with its dune-framed par-3s exposed to Atlantic winds, sets a closely balanced stage for the Irish Open hole-in-one market at 50% implied probability. A strong field including multiple major winners and accurate iron players boosts the volume of attempts across four rounds, yet variable September conditions—persistent showers, moderate-to-fresh breezes, and firm or softening greens—introduce enough variability to keep outcomes even. Calm spells or favorable pin placements could elevate ace chances on shorter holes, while gustier setups or firmer turf typically suppress precision approaches. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing captures this equilibrium between opportunity and the inherent unpredictability of links golf.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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