Jordan Smith and Padraig Harrington share the lead in trader-implied probabilities at 49.5% each for the DP World Tour Irish Open winner, reflecting a tightly bunched field where no single player dominates. The competitive dynamics stem from the event's deep roster of European Tour regulars, shifting course conditions that reward consistent ball-striking and short-game execution, and fluctuating recent form among contenders including Jon Rahm, Joaquin Niemann, and Alex Fitzpatrick. Multiple players hover near 16-20% odds, underscoring how historical performance at the venue, current season standings, and matchup variables keep outcomes highly uncertain until final rounds conclude.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJordan Smith 99%
Padraig Harrington 99%
Jon Rahm 40%
Joaquin Niemann 36%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Jordan Smith
99%
Padraig Harrington
99%
Jon Rahm
40%
Joaquin Niemann
36%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
34%
Harry Hall
34%
Alex Fitzpatrick
34%
Matt Wallace
34%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
34%
Patrick Reed
34%
Angel Ayora
33%
Brooks Koepka
33%
David Puig
33%
Jacob Skov Olesen
33%
Matthew Jordan
33%
Oliver Lindell
33%
Adrian Otaegui
32%
Alejandro Del Rey
32%
Antoine Rozner
32%
Ashun Wu
32%
Bernd Wiesberger
32%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
32%
Brandon Stone
32%
Calum Hill
32%
Casey Jarvis
32%
Connor Syme
32%
Cormac Sharvin
32%
Daniel Bradbury
32%
Daniel Gavins
32%
Daniel Hillier
32%
Daniel Rodrigues
32%
Danny Willett
32%
Darius van Driel
32%
David Micheluzzi
32%
David Ravetto
32%
Davis Bryant
32%
Dylan Frittelli
32%
Dylan Naidoo
32%
Eddie Pepperell
32%
Erik van Rooyen
32%
Ewen Ferguson
32%
Francesco Laporta
32%
Francesco Molinari
32%
Frankie Capan
32%
Freddy Schott
32%
Frederic Lacroix
32%
Grant Forrest
32%
Gregorio De Leo
32%
Guido Migliozzi
32%
Haotong Li
32%
Hennie Du Plessis
32%
Ignacio Elvira
32%
Ivan Cantero
32%
J. C. Ritchie
32%
Jack Senior
32%
Jacques Kruyswijk
32%
Jason Scrivener
32%
Jayden Schaper
32%
Jeff Winther
32%
Jens Dantorp
32%
Jeong-Weon Ko
32%
Joakim Lagergren
32%
Joel Girrbach
32%
Johannes Veerman
32%
John Catlin
32%
Joost Luiten
32%
Jordan Gumberg
32%
Jorge Campillo
32%
Adrian Meronk
32%
Andy Sullivan
32%
Angel Hidalgo
32%
Ben Schmidt
32%
Joseph Dean
32%
Julien Guerrier
32%
Jung-Hwan Lee
32%
Kazuma Kobori
32%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
32%
Kota Kaneko
32%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
32%
Laurie Canter
32%
Liam Nolan
32%
Luke Donald
32%
Manuel Elvira
32%
Marcel Schneider
32%
Marcus Armitage
32%
Marcus Helligkilde
32%
Mark Power
32%
Martin Couvra
32%
Matteo Manassero
32%
Max Kennedy
32%
Maximilian Steinlechner
32%
Michael Hollick
32%
Mikael Lindberg
32%
Nathan Kimsey
32%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
32%
Niklas Lemke
32%
Niklas Noergaard
32%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
32%
Pablo Larrazabal
32%
Paul Waring
32%
Jordan Smith 99%
Padraig Harrington 99%
Jon Rahm 40%
Joaquin Niemann 36%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Jordan Smith
$0 Vol.
99%
Padraig Harrington
$0 Vol.
99%
Jon Rahm
$0 Vol.
40%
Joaquin Niemann
$0 Vol.
36%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
$0 Vol.
34%
Harry Hall
$0 Vol.
34%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$0 Vol.
34%
Matt Wallace
$0 Vol.
34%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
$0 Vol.
34%
Patrick Reed
$0 Vol.
34%
Angel Ayora
$0 Vol.
33%
Brooks Koepka
$0 Vol.
33%
David Puig
$0 Vol.
33%
Jacob Skov Olesen
$0 Vol.
33%
Matthew Jordan
$0 Vol.
33%
Oliver Lindell
$0 Vol.
33%
Adrian Otaegui
$0 Vol.
32%
Alejandro Del Rey
$0 Vol.
32%
Antoine Rozner
$0 Vol.
32%
Ashun Wu
$0 Vol.
32%
Bernd Wiesberger
$0 Vol.
32%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
$0 Vol.
32%
Brandon Stone
$0 Vol.
32%
Calum Hill
$0 Vol.
32%
Casey Jarvis
$0 Vol.
32%
Connor Syme
$0 Vol.
32%
Cormac Sharvin
$0 Vol.
32%
Daniel Bradbury
$0 Vol.
32%
Daniel Gavins
$0 Vol.
32%
Daniel Hillier
$0 Vol.
32%
Daniel Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
32%
Danny Willett
$0 Vol.
32%
Darius van Driel
$0 Vol.
32%
David Micheluzzi
$0 Vol.
32%
David Ravetto
$0 Vol.
32%
Davis Bryant
$0 Vol.
32%
Dylan Frittelli
$0 Vol.
32%
Dylan Naidoo
$0 Vol.
32%
Eddie Pepperell
$0 Vol.
32%
Erik van Rooyen
$0 Vol.
32%
Ewen Ferguson
$0 Vol.
32%
Francesco Laporta
$0 Vol.
32%
Francesco Molinari
$0 Vol.
32%
Frankie Capan
$0 Vol.
32%
Freddy Schott
$0 Vol.
32%
Frederic Lacroix
$0 Vol.
32%
Grant Forrest
$0 Vol.
32%
Gregorio De Leo
$0 Vol.
32%
Guido Migliozzi
$0 Vol.
32%
Haotong Li
$0 Vol.
32%
Hennie Du Plessis
$0 Vol.
32%
Ignacio Elvira
$0 Vol.
32%
Ivan Cantero
$0 Vol.
32%
J. C. Ritchie
$0 Vol.
32%
Jack Senior
$0 Vol.
32%
Jacques Kruyswijk
$0 Vol.
32%
Jason Scrivener
$0 Vol.
32%
Jayden Schaper
$0 Vol.
32%
Jeff Winther
$0 Vol.
32%
Jens Dantorp
$0 Vol.
32%
Jeong-Weon Ko
$0 Vol.
32%
Joakim Lagergren
$0 Vol.
32%
Joel Girrbach
$0 Vol.
32%
Johannes Veerman
$0 Vol.
32%
John Catlin
$0 Vol.
32%
Joost Luiten
$0 Vol.
32%
Jordan Gumberg
$0 Vol.
32%
Jorge Campillo
$0 Vol.
32%
Adrian Meronk
$0 Vol.
32%
Andy Sullivan
$0 Vol.
32%
Angel Hidalgo
$0 Vol.
32%
Ben Schmidt
$0 Vol.
32%
Joseph Dean
$0 Vol.
32%
Julien Guerrier
$0 Vol.
32%
Jung-Hwan Lee
$0 Vol.
32%
Kazuma Kobori
$0 Vol.
32%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
$0 Vol.
32%
Kota Kaneko
$0 Vol.
32%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
$0 Vol.
32%
Laurie Canter
$0 Vol.
32%
Liam Nolan
$0 Vol.
32%
Luke Donald
$0 Vol.
32%
Manuel Elvira
$0 Vol.
32%
Marcel Schneider
$0 Vol.
32%
Marcus Armitage
$0 Vol.
32%
Marcus Helligkilde
$0 Vol.
32%
Mark Power
$0 Vol.
32%
Martin Couvra
$0 Vol.
32%
Matteo Manassero
$0 Vol.
32%
Max Kennedy
$0 Vol.
32%
Maximilian Steinlechner
$0 Vol.
32%
Michael Hollick
$0 Vol.
32%
Mikael Lindberg
$0 Vol.
32%
Nathan Kimsey
$0 Vol.
32%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
$0 Vol.
32%
Niklas Lemke
$0 Vol.
32%
Niklas Noergaard
$0 Vol.
32%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
$0 Vol.
32%
Pablo Larrazabal
$0 Vol.
32%
Paul Waring
$0 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).Jordan Smith and Padraig Harrington share the lead in trader-implied probabilities at 49.5% each for the DP World Tour Irish Open winner, reflecting a tightly bunched field where no single player dominates. The competitive dynamics stem from the event's deep roster of European Tour regulars, shifting course conditions that reward consistent ball-striking and short-game execution, and fluctuating recent form among contenders including Jon Rahm, Joaquin Niemann, and Alex Fitzpatrick. Multiple players hover near 16-20% odds, underscoring how historical performance at the venue, current season standings, and matchup variables keep outcomes highly uncertain until final rounds conclude.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).Jordan Smith and Padraig Harrington share the lead in trader-implied probabilities at 49.5% each for the DP World Tour Irish Open winner, reflecting a tightly bunched field where no single player dominates. The competitive dynamics stem from the event's deep roster of European Tour regulars, shifting course conditions that reward consistent ball-striking and short-game execution, and fluctuating recent form among contenders including Jon Rahm, Joaquin Niemann, and Alex Fitzpatrick. Multiple players hover near 16-20% odds, underscoring how historical performance at the venue, current season standings, and matchup variables keep outcomes highly uncertain until final rounds conclude.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jordan Smith and Padraig Harrington share the lead in trader-implied probabilities at 49.5% each for the DP World Tour Irish Open winner, reflecting a tightly bunched field where no single player dominates. The competitive dynamics stem from the event's deep roster of European Tour regulars, shifting course conditions that reward consistent ball-striking and short-game execution, and fluctuating recent form among contenders including Jon Rahm, Joaquin Niemann, and Alex Fitzpatrick. Multiple players hover near 16-20% odds, underscoring how historical performance at the venue, current season standings, and matchup variables keep outcomes highly uncertain until final rounds conclude.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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