**Recent misses and soft same-store sales momentum underpin the 55.5% market-implied probability that Domino's Pizza (DPZ) misses Q3 2026 consensus estimates.** The company reported Q2 EPS of $4.07 against expectations near $4.17–$4.21, extending a Q1 shortfall, while U.S. comparable-store sales grew just 0.1%. Analysts project Q3 EPS around $4.39–$4.41 versus $4.08 a year earlier, with revenue estimates near $1.17–$1.18 billion, yet recent downgrades and lowered price targets reflect caution amid mixed operating trends. The Oct. 1 CEO transition to Joe Jordan introduces additional near-term uncertainty ahead of the Oct. 13 release. These factors have kept trader sentiment balanced but tilted slightly against an earnings beat.