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icon for Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country

Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country

icon for Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country

Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country

Finland 100.0%

Iceland <1%

Denmark <1%

Sweden <1%

Polymarket

$89,590 Vol.

Finland 100.0%

Iceland <1%

Denmark <1%

Sweden <1%

Polymarket

$89,590 Vol.

Iceland

$3,688 Vol.

No

Denmark

$19,017 Vol.

No

Finland

$39,747 Vol.

Yes

Sweden

$18,591 Vol.

No

Norway

$8,548 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s commanding position in the Eurovision 2026 “Best Nordic Country” market stems from its status as the clear overall frontrunner heading into the Vienna final. The entry “Liekinheitin,” performed by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, earned a dominant 75% public vote in the UMK national final and has since topped major fan polls, jury rankings, and bookmakers’ lists. Its distinctive live-violin staging and strong televote appeal have created overwhelming trader consensus that Finland will finish ahead of Denmark, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden. An upset would require one of the other Nordic acts to deliver a breakout final performance that overcomes Finland’s current momentum and broad international support.

This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest.

For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$89,590
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s commanding position in the Eurovision 2026 “Best Nordic Country” market stems from its status as the clear overall frontrunner heading into the Vienna final. The entry “Liekinheitin,” performed by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, earned a dominant 75% public vote in the UMK national final and has since topped major fan polls, jury rankings, and bookmakers’ lists. Its distinctive live-violin staging and strong televote appeal have created overwhelming trader consensus that Finland will finish ahead of Denmark, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden. An upset would require one of the other Nordic acts to deliver a breakout final performance that overcomes Finland’s current momentum and broad international support.

This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest.

For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$89,590
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 100%, followed by "Iceland" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" has generated $89.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" is "Finland" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iceland" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.