George Russell established the outright fastest lap in Italian Grand Prix FP2 at Monza with a 1:22.559s effort on soft tires, 0.120s clear of Charles Leclerc and 0.141s ahead of Mercedes teammate Kimi Antonelli. Traders priced Russell at near-certainty because Mercedes responded strongly to Ferrari’s FP1 pace, with Russell delivering the quickest single-lap runs amid hot track conditions and effective tow management. His form, including a recent Austrian win and consistent qualifying strength, aligned with the session data. Late-session spins or traffic could have altered the order, while any post-session timing adjustments or steward reviews remain the only realistic paths to a different result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGeorge Russell 100.0%
Oscar Piastri 16.5%
Esteban Ocon 13.1%
Max Verstappen 12%
$1,965 Vol.
$1,965 Vol.
Pierre Gasly
No
Fernando Alonso
No
Alexander Albon
No
Gabriel Bortoleto
No
Sergio Perez
No
Charles Leclerc
No
Esteban Ocon
No
Lando Norris
No
Kimi Antonelli
No
Max Verstappen
No
Franco Colapinto
No
Carlos Sainz Jr.
No
Nico Hulkenberg
No
Valtteri Bottas
No
Lewis Hamilton
No
Oliver Bearman
No
Oscar Piastri
No
George Russell
Yes
Arvid Lindblad
No
Isack Hadjar
No
Liam Lawson
No
Lance Stroll
No
George Russell 100.0%
Oscar Piastri 16.5%
Esteban Ocon 13.1%
Max Verstappen 12%
$1,965 Vol.
$1,965 Vol.
Pierre Gasly
No
Fernando Alonso
No
Alexander Albon
No
Gabriel Bortoleto
No
Sergio Perez
No
Charles Leclerc
No
Esteban Ocon
No
Lando Norris
No
Kimi Antonelli
No
Max Verstappen
No
Franco Colapinto
No
Carlos Sainz Jr.
No
Nico Hulkenberg
No
Valtteri Bottas
No
Lewis Hamilton
No
Oliver Bearman
No
Oscar Piastri
No
George Russell
Yes
Arvid Lindblad
No
Isack Hadjar
No
Liam Lawson
No
Lance Stroll
No
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 11, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 2 as published by the FIA. If Practice 2 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 11, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 2 as published by the FIA. If Practice 2 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
George Russell established the outright fastest lap in Italian Grand Prix FP2 at Monza with a 1:22.559s effort on soft tires, 0.120s clear of Charles Leclerc and 0.141s ahead of Mercedes teammate Kimi Antonelli. Traders priced Russell at near-certainty because Mercedes responded strongly to Ferrari’s FP1 pace, with Russell delivering the quickest single-lap runs amid hot track conditions and effective tow management. His form, including a recent Austrian win and consistent qualifying strength, aligned with the session data. Late-session spins or traffic could have altered the order, while any post-session timing adjustments or steward reviews remain the only realistic paths to a different result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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