Scottie Scheffler enters the FedEx Cup Playoffs as the clear points leader with a substantial cushion built from consistent top finishes, including his commanding eight-stroke victory at the just-completed FedEx St. Jude Championship where he tied a course record. Rory McIlroy sits second in implied probability thanks to his Masters title and strong overall season, though his lighter schedule leaves him needing strong showings at the BMW Championship and Tour Championship to close the gap. The wide field features several players like Cameron Young, Sam Burns, and Tommy Fleetwood with realistic paths via hot streaks or favorable course fits at East Lake, but the top contenders' form, recent results, and accumulated points create the primary separation reflected in current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 27%
Rory McIlroy 14%
Cameron Young 7.6%
Daniel Berger 4.8%
$2,613,467 Vol.
$2,613,467 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
27%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Cameron Young
8%
Daniel Berger
5%
Sam Burns
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
4%
Nico Echavarria
4%
Ludvig Åberg
4%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
J.J. Spaun
4%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Si Woo Kim
3%
Robert MacIntyre
3%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Sahith Theegala
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Sepp Straka
1%
Nicolai Højgaard
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Adam Scott
<1%
Jake Knapp
<1%
Gary Woodland
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 27%
Rory McIlroy 14%
Cameron Young 7.6%
Daniel Berger 4.8%
$2,613,467 Vol.
$2,613,467 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
27%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Cameron Young
8%
Daniel Berger
5%
Sam Burns
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Hideki Matsuyama
4%
Nico Echavarria
4%
Ludvig Åberg
4%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
J.J. Spaun
4%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Si Woo Kim
3%
Robert MacIntyre
3%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Sahith Theegala
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Sepp Straka
1%
Nicolai Højgaard
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Adam Scott
<1%
Jake Knapp
<1%
Gary Woodland
<1%
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler enters the FedEx Cup Playoffs as the clear points leader with a substantial cushion built from consistent top finishes, including his commanding eight-stroke victory at the just-completed FedEx St. Jude Championship where he tied a course record. Rory McIlroy sits second in implied probability thanks to his Masters title and strong overall season, though his lighter schedule leaves him needing strong showings at the BMW Championship and Tour Championship to close the gap. The wide field features several players like Cameron Young, Sam Burns, and Tommy Fleetwood with realistic paths via hot streaks or favorable course fits at East Lake, but the top contenders' form, recent results, and accumulated points create the primary separation reflected in current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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